# Hedera (HBAR) — Should You Buy? Signal, Supply and Price Drivers (Oct 2026)

*Originally published at https://mrnasdog.com/research/hbar (checked Oct 18 2026)*

Our read on Hedera for Oct 18 2026: a **mixed** long-run signal and a score of 5.5/10, from new supply, demand and what moves the price.

- **Long-run signal:** mixed (Oct 18 2026)
- **Score:** 5.5/10 — supply 3.5/5, demand 2/5
- **New supply:** +0.09% in 90 days · +3.63% in a year
- **Demand:** weak (2/5)
- **Price drivers:** 1 ▲ price up · 0 ▼ price down

## How fast Hedera supply grows

All 50B HBAR were made at launch. The Hedera Council let out 207.85M from its 6.0B reserve in 90 days, so supply grew 0.47%; its plan points to about 0.09% next.

New HBAR: +0.09% in 90 days, +3.63% in a year. Supply score 3.5/5, "steady", #74 of 101 for new supply.

## The things that move Hedera

2 things outside the score can move HBAR's price — today 1 ▲ up, 0 ▼ down.

### ▲ ETF holdings

Only US HBAR ETF keeps adding; up 70% since Dec 31 2025.

ETF holds more → price up · ETF holds less → price down. Right now it points up.

| Date | Canary HBAR ETF |
|---|---|
| Dec 31 2025 | 473 M HBAR |
| Mar 31 2026 | 573 M HBAR |
| Jun 30 2026 | 663 M HBAR |
| Oct 9 2026 | 806 M HBAR |

*Checked Oct 12 2026*

### • Big-name members

Three big names joined in 2026; Hitachi just dropped off.

▲ Price up if: Big names join. ▼ Price down if: Big names leave.

| Date | What happened / what is coming |
|---|---|
| Jun 4 2025 | Arrow Electronics joins |
| Jun 24 2025 | B4E joins council |
| Feb 13 2026 | FedEx joins council |
| Mar 25 2026 | McLaren joins council |
| Apr 30 2026 | Accenture joins council |
| Oct 8 2026 | Hitachi off member list |

*Checked Oct 12 2026*

## HBAR demand

Hedera demand: 2/5 (**weak**), place #65 among 110 coins — interest today plus the buying that could come later.

Members get the rest of the Hedera demand read on mrnasdog.com.

## Questions about HBAR

### Should I buy Hedera now, or wait?

Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Hedera is mixed. As of Oct 18 2026, score 5.5/10, Hedera faces +0.09% new supply over 90 days, with demand weak (2/5). Hedera's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down.

### Hedera vs Canton: which coin has more room to grow?

Canton is bigger today, about $4.93B against Hedera's $4.04B on Oct 12 2026. Hedera has 88% of its 50B max already out, while Canton lists no max supply. Hedera's US ETF has grown its holdings 70% since Dec 31 2025. By supply and demand, Hedera's long-run signal is mixed today.

### Is Hedera dead, or is it still growing?

Still growing, we think. The only US HBAR ETF keeps adding and is up 70% since Dec 31 2025. Three big names joined as Hedera members in 2026, though Hitachi just dropped off. By supply and demand, Hedera's long-run signal is mixed today.

### Is $10 possible for Hedera?

It would take 109 times today's value: $10 × Hedera's coins in the market = about $440B, against $4.05B now (Oct 18 2026). Hedera's supply also grows +3.63% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Our supply-and-demand read for Hedera stays mixed.

### Is it time to take profit on Hedera?

Today the signal is mixed. Supply and demand would point the other way for Hedera if new supply jumps (today +0.09% in 90 days), or demand falls from weak.

### Is Hedera a good investment right now?

On our framework Hedera scores 5.5/10 (Oct 18 2026), with supply 3.5/5 (steady) and demand 2/5. In the next year Hedera's supply changes +3.63%, so the long-run signal reads mixed.

### What is the best time to invest in Hedera?

The law of supply and demand points to one window for Hedera: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Hedera stands today: +0.09% new supply in 90 days (steady), demand weak (2/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 0 ▼.

### Will Hedera go up? What could move its price?

Hedera has 2 price drivers today (1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down). ▲ ETF holdings: Only US HBAR ETF keeps adding; up 70% since Dec 31 2025. • Big-name members: Three big names joined in 2026; Hitachi just dropped off.

### Should I buy Hedera or Bitcoin?

Hedera reads mixed at 5.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 18 2026). On supply and demand, Hedera looks weaker than Bitcoin today.

## Go deeper on Hedera

- HBAR supply, line by line: https://mrnasdog.com/research/hbar/inflation
- Where Hedera sits among all coins: https://mrnasdog.com/coins
- Why supply and demand decide HBAR's signal: https://mrnasdog.com/research/pressure-framework/full

*Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice.*