AAAVE · Aave
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

AAVE · buyback exceeds Safety Module emissions.

Fixed 16M cap (totalSupply verified on-chain), no inflation, no vesting. Last 90 days: ~0.02M AAVE emitted from the Ecosystem Reserve to Safety Module stakers while the Aavenomics 2.0 buyback ($50M/yr permanent) removed ~0.14M AAVE from the market. Net 0.78% of supply OFF market. Next 90 days look the same — the buyback is the structural buy lever.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-0.78%
updated · Jun 4 2026
Net flow: 0.78% of supply taken off the market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-0.78%
estimate
Net flow: 0.78% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Supply shrinking · projected to keep shrinking
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation

Fixed 16M hard cap. No mint function on the contract — verified via `totalSupply()` = 16,000,000.0 exactly.

0 AAVE
permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks

Original LEND → AAVE migration completed Jul 2020 (1.3B LEND → 13M AAVE at 100:1). No team or investor vesting schedule remains.

0 AAVE
permanent · no change
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Safety Module emissions out of the Ecosystem Reserve at 220 AAVE/day × 90D ≈ 19,800 AAVE / 90D. Stakers can claim and sell. §0.45.3.4 enumeration: Ecosystem Reserve balance ~597K AAVE (drawn down from original 3M). Releases at DAO discretion under governance. (An ARFC to reduce to 150/day is open but not yet ratified.)

~0.02M AAVE
updated · Jun 4 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No bankruptcy estate. Safety Module 20-day cooldown is operational, not a long-term lock.

0 AAVE
checked · May 30 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback

Aavenomics 2.0: $50M/yr permanent buyback funded by protocol revenue. Weekly cadence $250K–$1.75M (~$1M average) executed by the Aave Finance Committee. 13 weeks × ~$1M / ~$90 avg price ≈ 144K AAVE per 90D ≈ 0.14M.

~0.14M AAVE
updated · Jun 4 2026
2. Protocol fee burn

No EIP-1559 base-fee burn on AAVE. Protocol revenue funds the buyback above instead.

0 AAVE
permanent · no change
3. Foundation buy

The Aavenomics 2.0 buyback IS the DAO-led buy mechanism — no separate Foundation accumulation programme. Anti-GHO is non-transferable (redeemable for GHO debt repayment) — explicitly NOT a buyback, excluded here.

0 AAVE
permanent · no change
4. New long-term lock

Safety Module is a 20-day cooldown + 2-day claim window — operational liquidity lock only, not the long-term-lock threshold. The 2.09M AAVE in the SM is a standing fact, not a 90D flow.

0 AAVE
checked · May 30 2026

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M AAVE)
0.020
0.020
Buy total (M AAVE)
0.140
0.140
Sell % of circ
+0.130%
+0.130%
Buy % of circ
+0.909%
+0.909%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
-0.779%
-0.779%
Score (0–6)
5
5
Verdict
favor
favor
Circulating supply: 15.400M AAVE · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the full Pressure Framework analysis
AAVE: fixed 16M cap, buyback exceeds Safety Module emissions.
Long-form Metric 1 + 2 read. Origin-first from Ethereum RPC + Aave governance. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of AAVE, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 28, 2026.