AAAVE · Ethereum
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

AAVE · a revenue buyback quietly edges out the last of the emission.

AAVE is the governance token of the Aave lending protocol on Ethereum~15.18M circulating, hard-capped at 16M with no mint function, so nothing is inflated into existence.

Sell pressure. The Ecosystem Reserve streams about 0.014M AAVE to Safety Module stakers over the next 90 days — the only new float on a capped supply.

Buy pressure. A revenue-funded buyback takes roughly 0.026M AAVE off the market and holds it in the DAO reserve — not burned.

Net. About 0.08% taken off the market over 90 days — supply roughly steady, tilting a touch deflationary.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-0.04%
updated
Net flow: 0.04% of supply stays in the market (roughly neutral) over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-0.08%
estimate
Net flow: 0.08% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Mixed flows · supply roughly steady
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
0

AAVE is hard-capped at 16M with no mint function — the protocol cannot issue new tokens, so there is no ongoing inflation.

permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks
0

The 2020 LEND-to-AAVE migration is long finished and every original allocation has fully vested — no team, seed or investor cliff reaches the market.

permanent · no change
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
~0.014M AAVE

The staking safety system streams about 150 AAVE a day (~0.014M over 90 days) from the Ecosystem Reserve to stakers as rewards, after governance cut the rate from ~220 a day in Jun 2026. Around 0.82M AAVE sits outside the float in the Ecosystem Reserve and the DAO Collector — which also receives the bought-back AAVE — both tracked team-controlled overhangs.

checked · Jul 8 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to AAVE.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~0.026M AAVE

The protocol spends revenue buying AAVE on the open market at about 292 AAVE a day (~0.026M over 90 days). Aavenomics 3.0 made the buyback automatic and non-discretionary in Jun 2026, funded by protocol and GHO revenue up to a $30M-a-year budget. The bought AAVE is held in the DAO Collector, not burned.

checked · Jul 8 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

AAVE has no fee-burn mechanism — protocol revenue funds the buyback instead of destroying tokens. Governance has floated an optional future burn but none is live.

checked · Jul 8 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

The DAO's open-market buying is the programmatic buyback in Buy #1 — there is no separate discretionary purchase to book.

checked · Jul 8 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

No new multi-year lock or escrow was announced in the window — monitored.

checked · Jul 8 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M AAVE)
0.020
0.014
Buy total (M AAVE)
0.026
0.026
Sell % of circ
+0.132%
+0.092%
Buy % of circ
+0.171%
+0.171%
Net inflation %
-0.040%
-0.079%
Circulating supply: 15.180M AAVE
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for AAVE.
Why a capped supply with a revenue buyback reads as roughly steady.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of AAVE, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jul 8, 2026.