Aerodrome

AERO · DEX on Base
Checked
Oct 15 2026
The big picture
3.5 / 10Total score0510
Supply + DemandMax. 10
Hold AERO? We'll warn you first.
Free · 2 coins

Coming next

Oct 22 2026+59.50M AERO added
Metric 1 of 3

AERO · Coin Supply

Weekly mints and a merger outpace the coins being locked.

0 / 5Extreme
Age2.7 yearssince Feb 2024
Unlocked50.2%of total supply
Last 90 days+3.62%new supply
Next 90 days+10.23%estimate

AERO runs Aerodrome, the biggest exchange on Base: 1.00B coins circulate, about half of all AERO. The rest sits in locks.

Sell pressure. Weekly mints added 61.79M AERO in 90 days and lock exits 4.49M. On Oct 22 2026 the Aero merger hands Velodrome holders about 59.50M free AERO.

Buy pressure. Holders locked 23.88M more, and the growth fund locked 6.22M it had bought.

Net. Net, supply grew 3.62% in 90 days and should grow about 10.23% next.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+3.62%
checked · Oct 5 2026
Net flow: 3.62% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+10.23%
estimate
Net flow: 10.23% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Aero launch: Velodrome holders get new AERO+59.50M AERO
    Oct 22 2026 · sell
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~61.79M AERO

Every Thursday the minter prints 0.21% of total supply for liquidity providers, plus a team share and a top-up for lockers. Thirteen weekly mints in these 90 days added 61.79M AERO, and the on-chain total rose by exactly that much. Next 90 days: three more old-style mints until Oct 22 2026, then the new Aero rewards at its stated base rate of about 11% a year — about 61.45M AERO in all.

checked · Oct 5 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

There is no vesting calendar. Team, airdrop and partner coins were handed out as locked positions at launch in 2023, so they come back only when a lock ends and the owner withdraws — that flow is row 4.

checked · Oct 5 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

Tracked team-side wallets: a team multisig with 29.28M AERO (down 136K in 90 days), the team wallet with 3.32M (filled by the weekly team share), and the growth fund's buying wallet with 1.56M waiting to be locked — all already counted as circulating, so moves out of them add nothing new. The relay reward pots hold at least 54.4M AERO, also counted as circulating. None of these released locked coins to the market in the window.

checked · Oct 5 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
~4.49M AERO

AERO comes back from locks when a lock ends and its owner withdraws. 1,295 withdrawals returned 4.49M AERO to the market in 90 days. Most locks never end: about 990M of the 993M locked AERO sit in permanent locks. No estate, trustee or court holds AERO. We hold the same pace for the next 90 days.

checked · Oct 5 2026
5. Velodrome holders join (Aero merger)
~59.50M AERO

Next 90 days only — nothing came from this in the last 90. On Oct 22 2026 Aerodrome and Velodrome merge into Aero. Old AERO moves 1:1, and VELO holders get 5.5% of the new supply — about 116.8M AERO, roughly 0.044 per VELO. About half of all VELO is free (not locked), so about 59.50M new AERO arrive free and count in the next 90 days; the locked half arrives staked and stays out of the float.

checked · Oct 5 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~6.22M AERO

The Foundation's growth fund buys AERO on the market with protocol revenue, collects it in one wallet, then max-locks it. It locked 3.48M on Jul 8 2026 and 2.75M on Aug 24 2026 — 6.22M AERO taken out of the float. It bought about 4.31M in the window (public rounds of 343K, 325K and 171K among them), so we use that pace for the next 90 days. At Aero the fund becomes the Momentum Fund, which plans to buy back and burn.

checked · Oct 5 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

Trading fees are paid to lockers who vote, not burned. Total supply never fell in the window, and the dead address gained under 1 AERO.

checked · Oct 5 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

The Foundation's only buying is the growth-fund program in row 1; no separate treasury purchase was announced or seen on-chain. The growth fund holds an estimated 184M–190M AERO in max locks, outside the float.

checked · Oct 5 2026
4. New long-term lock
~23.88M AERO

Besides the growth fund, holders locked 23.88M more AERO than they took out (new locks, top-ups, relay compounding and lockers' weekly top-ups claimed back into locks). Locked AERO is outside the float, so this is the main thing holding supply back. After Oct 22 2026 the lockers' top-up ends, so we cut the next-90-day figure to about 18.80M.

checked · Oct 5 2026
Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M AERO)
66.281
125.447
Buy total (M AERO)
30.106
23.107
Sell % of circ
+6.628%
+12.545%
Buy % of circ
+3.011%
+2.311%
Net inflation %
+3.618%
+10.234%
Circulating supply: 999.988M AERO
Read the full Inflation Analysis
AERO: weekly mints and the Velodrome merger outrun the coins holders lock away.
Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.
Metric 2 of 3

AERO · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want AERO right now, and how much buying could come later.

3.5 / 5Strong

Current demand1.5 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot AERO is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

AERO on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about
#60 · Oct 5 2026

Today, people are talking about AERO for two reasons:

  1. 1
    Aerodrome and Velodrome merge into one exchange, Aero, on Oct 21.

    The merger starts on Oct 21 2026 at 8:00 p.m. US Eastern time. Old AERO turns into the new AERO 1 to 1, each VELO gets about 0.044 new AERO, and Aerodrome holders keep about 94.5% of the new supply. People ask what they must do: tokens in your own wallet move through the upgrade page, and the old token rewards stop.

  2. 2
    AERO rose more than 50% in a month before the merger.

    AERO went from about $0.56 on Sep 14 2026 to about $0.94 on Oct 12 2026, then slipped to about $0.87 by Oct 14 2026. People ask if the merger news is already in the price, or if new buyers come after Oct 21.

Checked Oct 14 2026

Metric 3 of 3

AERO · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move AERO's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · Aero launch

Watch
Aero wins new chains → price upLaunch slips or flops → price down
  1. Aug 24 2026Coinbase stocks go live
  2. Sep 16 2026Aero Lite live on Arc
  3. Sep 25 2026Launch date set
  4. Today
    Oct 14 2026Final Aerodrome epoch
  5. Oct 21 2026Aero live on 7 chains

Aerodrome and Velodrome become Aero on Oct 21 2026, on 7 chains.

Data
DateWhat happened / what is coming
Aug 24 2026Coinbase stocks go live
Sep 16 2026Aero Lite live on Arc
Sep 25 2026Launch date set
Oct 14 2026Final Aerodrome epoch (coming)
Oct 21 2026Aero live on 7 chains (coming)
Checked Oct 10 2026

2 · Base trading share

Quiet
Wins more Base trading → price upLoses Base trading → price down
Share of Base DEX volume
020406080202420252026Stock tokens49.6%
020406080202420252026Stock tokens49.6%

Aerodrome still handles about half of all trading on Base.

Data
DateShare of Base DEX volume
Jul 31 202656.3%
Aug 31 202653.6%
Sep 30 202648.4%
Oct 10 202649.6%
Checked Oct 10 2026

Should you buy AERO? Questions about AERO

Is it time to buy the Aerodrome dip?

Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Aerodrome is negative. As of Oct 15 2026, score 3.5/10, Aerodrome faces +10.23% new supply over 90 days, with demand strong (3.5/5). Aerodrome's price drivers: 0 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down.

What happens to Aerodrome when it merges with Velodrome?

Aerodrome and Velodrome become one name, Aero, on Oct 21 2026, running on 7 chains. The last Aerodrome epoch is Oct 14 2026. We think the merger matters less than supply for now: +10.23% new tokens arrive in 90 days. Our supply-and-demand read for Aerodrome stays negative.

Why is Aerodrome Finance down when it still rules trading on Base?

New supply is the likely weight. Aerodrome adds +10.23% new tokens in 90 days and +22.52% over the next year (Oct 10 2026). Demand looks strong at 3.5/5, and it still handles about half of all trading on Base, but that probably cannot absorb so much new supply. Supply and demand still read negative for Aerodrome in the long run.

Is $10 possible for Aerodrome?

It would take 12 times today's value: $10 × Aerodrome's coins in the market = about $10B, against $860M now (Oct 15 2026). Aerodrome's supply also grows +22.52% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Supply and demand still read negative for Aerodrome in the long run.

Is it time to take profit on Aerodrome?

Today the signal is negative. Supply and demand would point the other way for Aerodrome if new supply keeps arriving (+10.23% in 90 days), or demand falls from strong. Next date to watch for Aerodrome: Oct 14 2026 — Final Aerodrome epoch.

Is Aerodrome a good investment right now?

On our framework Aerodrome scores 3.5/10 (Oct 15 2026), with supply 0/5 (extreme) and demand 3.5/5. In the next year Aerodrome's supply changes +22.52%, so the long-run signal reads negative.

What is the best time to invest in Aerodrome?

The law of supply and demand points to one window for Aerodrome: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Aerodrome stands today: +10.23% new supply in 90 days (extreme), demand strong (3.5/5), drivers 0 ▲ / 0 ▼.

Will Aerodrome go up? What could move its price?

Aerodrome has 2 price drivers today (0 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down). • Aero launch: Aerodrome and Velodrome become Aero on Oct 21 2026, on 7 chains. • Base trading share: Aerodrome still handles about half of all trading on Base.

Should I buy Aerodrome or Bitcoin?

Aerodrome reads negative at 3.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 15 2026). On supply and demand, Aerodrome looks weaker than Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is +10.23% shown in red?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. AERO supply grows +10.23% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more AERO reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch AERO alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

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