MrNasdog
AASTER · Aster DEX
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

ASTER · 80% of fees go to buyback + burn.

Last 90 days: ~37.85M ASTER moved to market (5.85M staking emission + ~32M Stage 6 airdrop claims) while ~88M was accumulated into Foundation buyback wallets. Net structural read takes about 1.9% of supply OFF market — modestly deflationary with a flagged monitor gap. Stage 6 buyback runs at up to 80% of platform fees; team cliff September 18, 2026 is the next visible event.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-1.93%
updated · Jun 4 2026
Net flow: 1.93% of supply taken off the market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-2.97%
estimate
Net flow: 2.97% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Supply shrinking · projected to keep shrinking
monitor gap · primary −1.93% kept; monitor reads +5.37%. Step 3.5 deep-walk closed ~32M via Stage 6 airdrop Base claim; ~99M residual unexplained.
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation

Staking emission fixed at 450,000 ASTER per weekly epoch (post-Feb-2026 tokenomics overhaul — 97% reduction from prior 78.4M/month). 13 weeks × 450K ≈ 5.85M / 90D.

~5.85M ASTER
updated · Jun 4 2026
2. Vesting unlocks

Vesting paused under the Feb 2026 overhaul. Team 5% (400M) frozen until September 18, 2026 (outside next-90D — then 10M/month linear for 40 months). Treasury 7% governance-locked. Airdrop residual rolled into the staking model.

0 ASTER
updated · Jun 4 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Stage 6 airdrop Base portion (~32M ASTER) claim window April 28 → May 28, 2026 — most fired inside last-90D window; projected residual catch-up claims ~5M next 90D. Vesting-bonus tranche unlocks October 2026 (outside next-90D). §0.45.3.4 enumeration: Aster Foundation + YZi Labs / Binance-Labs-linked backers.

~5.0M ASTER
checked · May 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No bankruptcy overhang. Long-term locks (Team / Treasury) sit on the schedule above.

0 ASTER
checked · May 30 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback

Stage 6 buyback (Feb 4, 2026 onwards): up to 80% of daily platform fees → ASTER buybacks via two named Foundation wallets (40% automatic daily + 40% strategic discretionary). Cumulative buybacks across all stages ~266.3M ASTER (~$187M) by March 9, 2026; ~88M attributable to last-90D window.

~88M ASTER
updated · Jun 4 2026
2. Protocol fee burn

Burns are BATCHED, not continuous. Last batch (Stage 4+5) of 98.4M fired Feb 5, 2026 — BEFORE the last-90D window. Stage 6 buyback reserve is accumulating; not yet burned. Event-driven from reserve accumulation.

0 ASTER
checked · May 30 2026
3. Foundation buy

No separate Foundation accumulation programme outside the Stage 6 buyback (captured in Row #1).

0 ASTER
permanent · no change
4. New long-term lock

Aster Chain native staking with lock-period multipliers (live since Feb 2026). Aggregate staked supply is not exposed via public API — material but not quantifiable in window.

0 ASTER
checked · May 30 2026

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M ASTER)
37.850
10.850
Buy total (M ASTER)
88.000
88.000
Sell % of circ
+1.456%
+0.417%
Buy % of circ
+3.385%
+3.385%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
-1.929%
-2.967%
Score (0–6)
6
6
Verdict
favor
favor
Circulating supply: 2600.000M ASTER · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the full Pressure Framework analysis
ASTER: modestly off market — 80% of fees routed to buyback + burn.
Long-form Metric 1 + 2 read. Origin-first from the BSC token contract + Aster Foundation docs. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of ASTER, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 27, 2026.