AASTER · BNB Chain
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

ASTER · an early perp-DEX token whose airdrop unlock still outruns an aggressive buyback.

ASTER is the native token of Aster, a multichain perpetuals and spot DEX on BNB Chain — launched Sep 17 2025, with a 8B max supply and only ~2.68B circulating (~33.5%), so most of the story is unlock timing.

Sell pressure. The 53.5% airdrop allocation keeps vesting into the float — about 200M ASTER over 90 days — plus a small ~6M ecosystem staking emission. The team cliff ends Sep 18 2026.

Buy pressure. Since Jun 17 2026, 99% of platform fees buy ASTER for stakers and an equal amount is burned from reserve — the "198%" program — roughly 22M bought over 90 days, with an equal amount burned from reserve.

Net. About +6.87% to market — the early airdrop-unlock ramp still outruns the buyback, so supply is still growing, just more slowly than the headline unlock suggests.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+6.87%
updated
Net flow: 6.87% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+6.87%
estimate
Net flow: 6.87% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Framework nets the ~22M/90d fee buyback (Jun 17 2026 program: 99% of fees buy ASTER for ve-stakers, plus an equal reserve burn); the monitor's circulating base counts the ve-staked buyback tokens and the reserve burn is off the float, so it reads closer to the gross ~206M airdrop emission — hence +8.96% vs framework +6.87%.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Team allocation 12-month cliff ends~10M / mo
    Sep 18 2026 · added to market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~6M ASTER

After a tokenomics update, Aster's old fixed 78.4M-a-month linear schedule was replaced by a much smaller staking-reward emission — roughly 450K ASTER per weekly epoch, about 2M a month, or ~6M over 90 days — a ~97% cut. This ecosystem-funded reward paid to veASTER stakers is the protocol's ongoing new-supply emission and is now small.

checked · Jul 13 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~200M ASTER

The airdrop allocation — 53.5% of supply, about 4.28B ASTER on an 80-month linear vest from October 2025 — is distributed into the float in seasons. Trackers put the scheduled release near $42.6M a month, roughly 68M ASTER, about 2.2% of the float, or ~200M over 90 days. This is the dominant new-supply force and is what drove the ~220M circulating growth over the trailing 90 days.

checked · Jul 13 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

The Team allocation (400M, 5%) sits on a 12-month cliff that ends Sep 18 2026, then vests 10M a month — but the buyback burns team tokens from reserve first, so those tokens are being destroyed, not released, and the value is 0 with the cliff monitored. The Treasury (560M, 7%) is an unscheduled overhang with no observed release in the window. Both are tracked team-controlled overhangs.

checked · Jul 13 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to Aster.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~22M ASTER

Since Jun 17 2026, Aster directs 99% of platform fees to buy ASTER on the open market through a time-weighted average price mechanism and hands the tokens to veASTER stakers, who lock them in vote-escrow. Verified on-chain, the program bought about 2.94M ASTER in its first 12 days — roughly 22M over 90 days — real buy pressure that pulls float into locked staking.

checked · Jul 13 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

For every ASTER bought back, an equal amount — about 22M over 90 days — is burned from reserve, team allocation first, every two weeks. This is the other half of the 198% mechanism and shrinks total supply toward the 3B target (about 176M burned so far), but the burned tokens are non-circulating reserve, so it does not remove tokens from the trading float and counts 0 against circulating supply.

checked · Jul 13 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

There is no separate Foundation open-market buying of ASTER beyond the fee-funded buyback already counted above.

checked · Jul 13 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

The vote-escrow locking of bought-back tokens is already counted in the buyback row; no separate new lockup or escrow contract was created in the window.

checked · Jul 13 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M ASTER)
206.000
206.000
Buy total (M ASTER)
22.000
22.000
Sell % of circ
+7.686%
+7.686%
Buy % of circ
+0.821%
+0.821%
Net inflation %
+6.865%
+6.865%
Circulating supply: 2680.200M ASTER
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for ASTER.
Why a 198% buyback still leaves ASTER inflating.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of ASTER, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jul 13, 2026.