AASTER · BNB Chain
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

ASTER · a buyback that removes nothing.

ASTER is the coin of Aster, a perpetuals exchange on BNB Chain~2.70B circulating against a fixed 8B supply that was created in full at launch and has no way to grow. Everything on this page is a calendar moving coins that already exist.

Sell pressure. Weekly staking payouts of 6.8M ASTER plus one dated airdrop step of 95.1M on Jun 9 2026 — and the team's first-ever cliff opens Sep 17 2026.

Buy pressure. 0, and that is the surprise. About 18.3M was bought with fees and handed straight back to stakers, and a matching 18.3M was burned out of a locked reserve that was never on the market.

Net. About +3.77% to market over 90 days, easing to +2.33% next as the big airdrop step drops out and the team cliff replaces part of it.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+3.77%
updated
Net flow: 3.77% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+2.33%
estimate
Net flow: 2.33% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Framework +3.77% vs monitor +4.89%. The buyback wallet 0xa0edBa…1b60 held 0.00 at window open and 25.45 at close while about 18.3M ASTER passed through it between Jun 17 2026 and Aug 24 2026 and was paid to stakers — a round-trip the supply count reads as new supply — and Stage 6's 50% claim window closed Jun 4 2026, three days inside the window, from a distributor outside the vaults read here. Primary kept.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Team cliff opens for the first time+24.0M ASTER
    Sep 17 2026 · the 400M team allocation starts a forty-month release — the wallet has never paid a token
  • Stage 6 deferred airdrop claim opens+32.0M ASTER
    Nov 4 2026 · the half of the 64M stage that chose the fully vested option becomes claimable
  • Bi-weekly reserve burn keeps cutting the ceiling~24.2M ASTER
    Sep 7 2026 · walks the 8B cap toward the 3B target, but out of locked reserve — it does not touch the float
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
6.8M ASTER

The chain cannot make a new ASTER — all 8B were created once and the contract has no mint. What reaches holders is a fixed weekly staking payout of 450,000 ASTER, and it is measured rather than assumed: the emission pool held 1,249.45M ASTER on Jun 1 2026 and 1,242.70M today, so 6.75M actually left, in three tranches of exactly 2.25M. That is the top of the project's own stated range and the same rate carries forward.

updated · Aug 30 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

Nothing has ever vested. The team wallet held exactly 400,000,000 ASTER at the start of the window — the full 5% allocation, untouched since launch — and its only outflow all quarter went to the burn address, not to the market. The first-ever cliff opens Sep 17 2026, after which the allocation releases across forty months; about 24.0M of that lands inside the next window.

updated · Aug 30 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

No public evidence of release in window — monitored. Watched as overhang: the 560M treasury allocation, locked until a governance mechanism unlocks it and with no wallet published; the future-stage airdrop bucket of roughly 2.78B that has no calendar beyond Stage 6; and the 400M team reserve, which is SHRINKING — 400.00M down to 381.75M — because the bi-weekly burn eats it from the far end.

updated · Aug 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

There is no bankruptcy estate and no trustee distribution attached to this token. This row is empty by design, not quiet for now.

permanent · no change
5. Airdrop stage claims
95.1M ASTER

The single biggest thing that happened this quarter, and it is one dated step rather than a drip. The airdrop vault held 3,012.33M ASTER on Jun 1 2026 and 2,917.24M today, and the whole 95.1M gap left on Jun 9 2026 — the Stage 5 vested tranche, whose published size matches the on-chain move to the token. The next one is Nov 4 2026, when the half of Stage 6 that chose the fully vested option becomes claimable: about 32.0M.

updated · Aug 30 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

The headline feature, and it removes nothing. Since Jun 17 2026, 99% of platform fees buy ASTER on the open market — about 18.3M this quarter — but every bought coin is paid straight back out to stakers as a claimable reward the same epoch. The execution wallet proves it: 0.00 ASTER at the start of the window and 25.45 today, a pipe rather than a vault. Bought off the market and handed back to the market is not a float sink.

updated · Aug 30 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

Checked both ways. Total supply never moved — it read exactly 8,000,000,000 at both ends — while the unspendable address grew from 177.78M to 196.03M ASTER, so 18.3M really was burned. The source is what settles it: every one of those coins came out of the locked 400M team reserve, which no classifier counts as circulating and whose cliff has never opened. Burning a coin that was never tradable lowers the ceiling, not the float.

updated · Aug 30 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No open-market purchase outside the fee buyback has been disclosed, and none is visible on any published project wallet.

checked · Aug 30 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

A real lock mechanism started inside this window: from Aug 11 2026 a project wanting a perpetual market on Aster must stake 1,000,000 ASTER for four years with no early exit. That is genuine absorption once it fires, but no approved listing lock is visible on-chain in the nineteen days since, so the row waits at zero and the programme is watched.

updated · Aug 30 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M ASTER)
101.800
62.800
Buy total (M ASTER)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+3.770%
+2.326%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+3.770%
+2.326%
Score (0–2)
0.3
0.7
Verdict
avoid
mixed
Circulating supply: 2700.000M ASTER
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for ASTER.
Why a 198% buyback-and-burn takes zero coins off the market.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of ASTER, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 30 2026.