Fee buybacks go back to stakers. Burns hit locked coins.
ASTER is the token of Aster, a perpetuals exchange: 2.71B coins circulate, about a third of the 7.79B left after burns.
Sell pressure. Stakers received 4.5M ASTER from a locked pool in 90 days. Next, the last airdrop pays out about 63.38M on Nov 4 2026, and stakers get about 6.75M more.
Buy pressure. 99% of fees buy ASTER, but stakers get every coin back. The 23.57M ASTER burned came from the locked team share, so the market supply did not shrink.
Net. Net, supply grows 0.17% over 90 days and about 2.58% next.
Aster pays its stakers from the ecosystem pool, a locked wallet: 450,000 ASTER a week, sent in blocks of 2.25M about every 35 days. Two blocks landed in these 90 days, on Aug 17 and Sep 21 2026, so 4.5M new ASTER reached stakers. Three more are due by early January (around Oct 26, Nov 30 and Jan 4), about 6.75M.
Nothing vested in the last 90 days. On Nov 4 2026 the last trading airdrop (Stage 6) pays out in full to everyone who chose to wait: about 63.38M ASTER, still held in the locked airdrop wallet today. The previous stage's waiting half left that wallet in one move on its claim day, Jun 9 2026. The team's 400M share stays locked until Sep 17 2027, a year later than first planned.
Locked wallets we watch: the airdrop reserve (2.92B, unchanged since Jun 9 2026, holds the Nov 4 payout), the ecosystem pool (1.24B, which only pays stakers), the treasury (560M, untouched, governance only), the team wallet (370.4M and shrinking as it is burned) and a 198.3M project wallet that did not move. The buyback wallet keeps only dust (30 ASTER). No unplanned release from any of them in these 90 days.
No bankruptcy estate, trustee or long lock is releasing ASTER. The 313.6M ecosystem tokens unlocked before March 2026 sit untouched in one project wallet and only pass the staking blocks along.
99% of the exchange's fees buy ASTER in the market every day, about 23M ASTER in these 90 days. Every coin bought is paid out to stakers each week, so it goes straight back to holders and the tradable supply does not shrink.
For every ASTER bought, Aster burns one from the locked team share, every two weeks: 23.57M ASTER on six burn days from Jul 27 to Oct 5 2026, and it goes on until total supply falls to 3B. Those coins were never for sale, so the burn shrinks the locked part, not the tradable supply.
Apart from the fee buyback above, nothing shows the treasury or the team buying ASTER in these 90 days.
Staking locks run up to four years with a penalty for leaving early, and the staking contract holds about 1.31B ASTER. Staked coins still count as circulating, so a bigger stake takes nothing out of the float.
Two sides: how much people want ASTER right now, and how much buying could come later.
This part is based on social media. It shows how hot ASTER is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.
Today, people are talking about ASTER for one reason:
Some market calendars this week listed 1.65% of ASTER's circulating supply, about $31.7 million, to unlock on Oct 17 2026. Aster's own token page says the team's 400 million ASTER stay locked until Sep 17 2027, after the cliff was pushed back a year, and community tokens now come out through staking rewards instead of a fixed monthly unlock. People ask which is right, while the price barely moved, near $0.71.
Checked Oct 17 2026
Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Aster is mixed. As of Oct 17 2026, score 4/10, Aster faces +2.58% new supply over 90 days, with demand moderate (3/5). Aster's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down.
Hyperliquid probably has the edge for now. The US door for perp exchanges is opening, and Hyperliquid was named, not Aster. Aster still has a fight in it: open bets recovered after a weak first half of 2026, and it is worth about $1.89B (Oct 14 2026). Supply and demand still read mixed for Aster in the long run.
No, it looks alive. Aster is still worth about $1.89B (Oct 14 2026), and open bets on it came back after a weak first half of 2026. The weak spot is supply: about 2.58% new coins arrive in the next 90 days, and those need buyers too. That leaves Aster's long-run signal at mixed, by supply and demand.
It would take 14 times today's value: $10 × Aster's coins in the market = about $27.1B, against $1.88B now (Oct 17 2026). Aster's supply also grows +3.57% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Our supply-and-demand read for Aster stays mixed.
Today the signal is mixed. Supply and demand would point the other way for Aster if new supply keeps arriving (+2.58% in 90 days), or demand falls from moderate, or US perp rules keeps pointing down. Next date to watch for Aster: No date yet — CFTC vote on new rules.
On our framework Aster scores 4/10 (Oct 17 2026), with supply 1/5 (very heavy) and demand 3/5. In the next year Aster's supply changes +3.57%, so the long-run signal reads mixed.
The law of supply and demand points to one window for Aster: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Aster stands today: +2.58% new supply in 90 days (very heavy), demand moderate (3/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 1 ▼.
Aster has 2 price drivers today (1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down). ▲ Aster open bets: Open bets on Aster recovered after a weak first half of 2026. ▼ US perp rules: US door is opening, but a CME lawsuit could still slow it.
Aster reads mixed at 4/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 17 2026). On supply and demand, Aster looks weaker than Bitcoin today.
Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →
We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. ASTER supply grows +2.58% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more ASTER reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.
One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.
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