Cosmos Hub

Sell pressure. Staking pay is the only new supply: 16.24M ATOM in 90 days. The rate sits at its 10% ceiling, and faster blocks push real issuance near 12.7% a year. Nothing vests.

Buy pressure. Fees are kept, not burned. Only slashing destroyed coins: 2,021 ATOM.

Net. Net, supply grows about 3.04% in 90 days and 3.17% next.

Inflation

Last 90 Days

+3.04%

checked · Oct 4 2026

Net flow: 3.04% of supply goes to market over 90 days

Next 90 Days

+3.17%

estimate

Net flow: 3.17% of supply goes to market next 90 days

Supply growing · projected to keep growing

Sell pressure

1. Protocol inflation

~16.24M ATOM

Every block mints new ATOM for stakers, at a 10% yearly rate because only 63.3% of ATOM is staked against a 67% goal. The rate is set per block for 4.36M blocks a year, but blocks now come every 5.71 seconds, so real issuance runs near 12.7% a year. Supply read at both ends of the window, with burns added back, gives 16,244,654 new ATOM in 90 days; 2% of it goes to the community pool. With supply larger and no halt assumed, the next 90 days come to about 16.95M.

checked · Oct 4 2026

2. Vesting unlocks

Nothing vests. The 2017 fundraiser and genesis allocations finished unlocking years ago, unlock trackers list ATOM as fully unlocked, and circulating supply is within about 10.6K ATOM of total supply.

checked · Oct 4 2026

3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Four tracked piles, all already counted as circulating: the community pool (11.40M ATOM, spent only by a passed vote), the Interchain Foundation (14.93M ATOM at its last report, Jun 30 2026), the recovery multisig holding 1.23M ATOM taken back from the Neutron attacker on Sep 23 2026 (a vote to send it back to Neutron users is being drafted), and the fee collector (61.05K ATOM). Moving or selling any of them adds no new coins.

checked · Oct 4 2026

4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No estate, trustee or long lock pays ATOM out. Staked ATOM unbonds in 21 days, so it is never a long lock.

checked · Oct 4 2026

Buy pressure

1. Programmatic buyback

No contract or treasury buys ATOM back. A tokenomics review is still in progress, with no vote and no date.

checked · Oct 4 2026

2. Protocol fee burn

Fees are not destroyed. Base fees collect in a fee account that holds 61.05K ATOM and keeps growing, and those coins still count as circulating.

checked · Oct 4 2026

3. Foundation buy

No announcement or on-chain flow shows the Interchain Foundation or the community pool buying ATOM this window.

checked · Oct 4 2026

4. New long-term lock

338.39M ATOM is staked, but staked ATOM still counts as circulating and unbonds in 21 days, so staking takes nothing out of the float.

checked · Oct 4 2026

5. Slashing burn

~2.02K ATOM

When a validator misses too many blocks, part of its stake is destroyed. That happened in bursts on about Jul 9, Aug 6, Sep 3, Sep 9 and Sep 22 2026, burning 2,021 ATOM in 90 days. It recurs every month, so the next 90 days keep the same amount — tiny next to new issuance.

checked · Oct 4 2026

Supply check · sell, buy & net

Last 90D

Next 90D

Sell total (M ATOM)

16.245

16.951

Buy total (M ATOM)

0.002

Sell % of circ

+3.041%

+3.173%

Buy % of circ

+0.000%

Net inflation %

+3.041%

+3.173%

Circulating supply: 534.165M ATOM

Read the full Inflation Analysis

ATOM: new coins for stakers every block, and almost nothing burned.

Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.

Metric 2 of 3

ATOM · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want ATOM right now, and how much buying could come later.

2.5 / 5Modest

Current demand1.5 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot ATOM is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

ATOM on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about

#69 · Oct 4 2026

Today, people are talking about ATOM for two reasons:

1
The Cosmos Hub voted to send 1.2 million recovered ATOM back to Neutron users.
Proposal 1058 passed on Oct 12 2026, with about 132 million ATOM voting yes and well under 1 million voting no. It lets a 6-signer wallet send the 1,227,121 ATOM taken back from the Sep 22 Neutron attacker to Neutron, so the users who lost it can be repaid. People ask if halting the Hub to freeze the attacker's coins was the right move, and whether there should be a fixed emergency rule next time.
2
ATOM holders are asking when the Paxos listing will go live.
The Hub paid Paxos 300,740 USDC after a vote passed on Sep 17 2026, with a target launch date of Sep 18. By Oct 10 2026 there was still no live date, and community members asked about it openly in the Hub forum. People ask when ATOM will really be on Paxos and whether the money was well spent.

Checked Oct 14 2026

Metric 3 of 3

ATOM · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move ATOM's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · Hacks and halts

Watch

No new hacks or halts → price upMore hacks, more halts → price downnow

Aug 20 2026EVM bug hits 6 chains
Aug 28 2026Labs: bug was misjudged
Sep 22 2026Neutron hack, Hub halts
Sep 23 20261.23M ATOM frozen
Sep 30 2026Refund demand rejected
Today
Oct 12 2026Vote: send ATOM back

Two big exploits since Aug 20; Hub froze 1.23M stolen ATOM.

Data

Date	What happened / what is coming
Aug 20 2026	EVM bug hits 6 chains
Aug 28 2026	Labs: bug was misjudged
Sep 22 2026	Neutron hack, Hub halts
Sep 23 2026	1.23M ATOM frozen
Sep 30 2026	Refund demand rejected
Oct 12 2026	Vote: send ATOM back (coming)

Checked Oct 10 2026

2 · Hub value votes

New

Votes add ATOM value → price upnowValue plans voted down → price down

Jan 19 2026Hydro vault plan: no
Apr 9 2026Osmosis merger proposed
Apr 16 2026Osmosis merger rejected
Sep 17 2026Paxos listing passes
Today

Voters rejected the Osmosis merger, then paid for a Paxos listing.

Data

Date	What happened / what is coming
Jan 19 2026	Hydro vault plan: no
Apr 9 2026	Osmosis merger proposed
Apr 16 2026	Osmosis merger rejected
Sep 17 2026	Paxos listing passes

Checked Oct 10 2026

Should you buy ATOM? Questions about ATOM

Is it a good time to buy Cosmos Hub today?

Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Cosmos Hub is negative. As of Oct 15 2026, score 3.5/10, Cosmos Hub faces +3.17% new supply over 90 days, with demand modest (2.5/5). Cosmos Hub's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down.

What happened to Cosmos Hub and ATOM this year?

Two big exploits hit Cosmos Hub since Aug 20, and the Hub froze 1.23M stolen ATOM. A vote on sending that ATOM back is set for Oct 12 2026. On top of that, new supply is very heavy: +3.17% in 90 days and +13.52% in a year. Our supply-and-demand read for Cosmos Hub stays negative.

Is it time to take profit on Cosmos Hub?

Today the signal is negative. Supply and demand would point the other way for Cosmos Hub if new supply keeps arriving (+3.17% in 90 days), or demand falls from modest, or Hacks and halts keeps pointing down. Next date to watch for Cosmos Hub: Oct 12 2026 — Vote: send ATOM back.

Is Cosmos Hub a good investment right now?

On our framework Cosmos Hub scores 3.5/10 (Oct 15 2026), with supply 1/5 (very heavy) and demand 2.5/5. In the next year Cosmos Hub's supply changes +13.52%, so the long-run signal reads negative.

What is the best time to invest in Cosmos Hub?

The law of supply and demand points to one window for Cosmos Hub: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Cosmos Hub stands today: +3.17% new supply in 90 days (very heavy), demand modest (2.5/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 1 ▼.

Will Cosmos Hub go up? What could move its price?

Cosmos Hub has 2 price drivers today (1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down). ▼ Hacks and halts: Two big exploits since Aug 20; Hub froze 1.23M stolen ATOM. ▲ Hub value votes: Voters rejected the Osmosis merger, then paid for a Paxos listing.

Should I buy Cosmos Hub or Bitcoin?

Cosmos Hub reads negative at 3.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 15 2026). On supply and demand, Cosmos Hub looks weaker than Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is +3.17% shown in red?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. ATOM supply grows +3.17% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more ATOM reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch ATOM alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

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