MrNasdog Pressure Framework · full analysis
BTC's pure-inflation playbook, ported. ~40,500 BCH minted per 90 days from the coinbase reward; no buy mechanism anywhere in the protocol. We walk the same eight rows we walk for every coin.
Setup
Bitcoin Cash forked from Bitcoin in August 2017 at BTC block 478,558, inheriting BTC's BIP-0034 emission curve verbatim: 21M hard cap, 10-minute block target, halvings every 210,000 blocks. Read directly from a Bitcoin Cash block explorer:
- Current block: 952,655 · circulating ~20.04M BCH (95.4% mined)
- Current emission: 3.125 BCH/block × 144 blocks/day = ~164,362 BCH/yr (~0.82%/yr)
- Next halving: block 1,050,000 → 97,345 blocks out (~22.5 months ≈ April 2028)
- Cycle 5 emission: 1.5625 BCH/block → ~82,181 BCH/yr (~0.41%/yr)
The framework asks one structural question for any coin:
Net 90d % = (sell total − buy total) / circulating × 100
Part 1 · Sell pressureto market
Last 90 days · sell total
0.20% of circulating
Next 90 days · sell projected
~0.20% of circulating
SOURCE #1
Last 90 days
Blockchain math, exact: 3.125 BCH/block × 144 blocks/day × 90 days = 40,500 BCH minted to PoW miners over the window. Most coinbase is sold to cover energy + hardware costs — economic literature consensus on PoW.
Next 90 days
Same rate. Cycle-5 halving lands at block 1,050,000 (~22 months out), so the next 90d sit firmly inside cycle 4.
SOURCE #2
Last 90 days
BCH inherited BTC's history of no pre-mine, no ICO, no team allocation. Every BCH that exists was minted from a coinbase reward — there is no vesting schedule for any party.
Next 90 days
Same expectation.
SOURCE #3
Last 90 days
In 2020 the Bitcoin Cash community split over a proposed Infrastructure Funding Plan (an 8% coinbase tax for development). The Bitcoin Cash chain (Bitcoin Cash Node) REJECTED the tax. The ABC side that wanted the tax forked off and became BCHA / eCash. So the BCH chain today has no protocol-level dev fund.
Next 90 days
Same — no proposal to revive a coinbase tax is on the roadmap.
SOURCE #4
Last 90 days
No active BCH bankruptcy estate. Mt. Gox BCH distributions (which were a real overhang in 2024) are largely complete. No long-term-locked bucket is scheduled to unlock in the window.
Part 2 · Buy pressureoff market
Last 90 days · buy total
0.00% of circulating
Next 90 days · buy projected
0.00% of circulating
SOURCE #1
Last 90 days
PoW protocol; no protocol-level revenue mechanism. Transaction fees flow entirely to miners as part of the coinbase, not into a buyback contract.
SOURCE #2
Last 90 days
BCH script does not include an EIP-1559-style base-fee burn. Fees flow to miners. The 21M cap is enforced via the halving curve, not via burn.
SOURCE #3
Last 90 days
No Foundation, no DAO treasury. No accumulation programme exists.
SOURCE #4
Last 90 days
BCH has no native staking — it's a pure PoW chain. No lockup programme.
Net result
Plug the totals back into the formula:
Last 90 days = (40.5K − 0) / 20040K × 100 = +0.20% to market
Next 90 days = (40.5K − 0) / 20040K × 100 = +0.20% to market
BCH is the cleanest pure-inflation case in our coverage. ~164,362 BCH/yr (~0.82%) goes to miners; nothing comes off the market on the buy side. Net is a flat +0.20% to market over 90 days at the current pace, and the next 90 days project to the same.
The single mechanism that changes this picture is the cycle-5 halving at block 1,050,000 (~22.5 months out, ~April 2028). That cuts Sell #1 in half forever — but it lands outside the 90d window. For a 1-year horizon, the halving lands inside the window; for 4 years, two halvings land inside.
Data note. Block height + circulation are origin-first from a live block explorer. Emission curve + halving math from the BIP-0034 schedule inherited at the Aug 2017 fork. Cap confirmed at bitcoincash.org. No dev fund confirmed via the 2020 BCH ABC fork history (the ABC chain that took the 8% coinbase tax forked off and became BCHA / eCash; the surviving Bitcoin Cash chain rejected it). Monitor used only at end-of-pass cross-check.
MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of BCH, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 26, 2026.