BNB

Buy pressure. The quarterly burn destroyed 1.62M BNB on Jul 15 2026 and the fee burn another 7,485 BNB. The next burn, about 1.65M BNB, is due around Oct 15 2026.

Net. Net, supply shrinks about 1.22% in 90 days and 1.24% next.

Inflation

Last 90 Days

-1.22%

checked · Oct 10 2026

Net flow: 1.22% of supply taken off the market over 90 days

Next 90 Days

-1.24%

estimate

Net flow: 1.24% of supply taken off the market next 90 days

Supply shrinking · projected to keep shrinking

Upcoming · Next 90 Days

37th quarterly Auto-Burn−1.65M BNB
Oct 15 2026 · removed from market

Sell pressure

1. Protocol inflation

No new BNB is created. Validators on BNB Smart Chain are paid only from the fees people pay, and supply has only gone down since the 200M start. Chain governance could in theory add a reward, but nothing like that has been proposed.

checked · Oct 10 2026

2. Vesting unlocks

Nothing vests. The founding team's share finished releasing years ago, unlock trackers list BNB as fully unlocked, and circulating supply equals total supply.

checked · Oct 10 2026

3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Two big tracked wallets: the burn reserve holds 5.25M BNB and only ever sends coins to the burn address (1.62M left it on Jul 15 2026), and the old bridge hub holds 25.97M BNB, paying out a little (3,960 BNB this window) to people moving coins from the retired chain. Both are already counted as circulating, so neither adds new supply.

checked · Oct 10 2026

4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No estate, trustee or long lock is paying BNB out. Funds and listed companies that hold BNB bought it in the market, so their coins were already in the float.

checked · Oct 10 2026

Buy pressure

1. Programmatic buyback

Nothing is bought back in the market. The quarterly burn below is paid from a reserve that already holds the coins, so it shows up as a burn, not a buyback.

checked · Oct 10 2026

2. Protocol fee burn

~7.49K BNB

A share of the fees in every block is destroyed as it is paid. Read at the burn address in nine slices across the window, it came to 7,485 BNB, about 83 a day, with no jump outside the quarterly burn. Fees are tiny per block, so this burn stays small; the forward figure keeps the 90-day rate.

checked · Oct 10 2026

3. Foundation buy

No announcement or on-chain flow this window shows BNB Chain or Binance buying BNB in the market.

checked · Oct 10 2026

4. New long-term lock

BNB can be staked with validators, and a US fund now stakes part of its coins. Staked BNB still counts as circulating, so staking takes nothing out of the float.

checked · Oct 10 2026

5. Quarterly Auto-Burn

~1.62M BNB

Every quarter a published rule based on blocks made and the BNB price sets a burn, until supply falls to 100M. The 36th burn destroyed 1,615,828 BNB on Jul 15 2026. The 37th, for July to September, is estimated at about 1.65M BNB and is due around Oct 15 2026; 33.16M BNB still stands between today's supply and the 100M floor.

checked · Oct 10 2026

Supply check · sell, buy & net

Last 90D

Next 90D

Sell total (M BNB)

0.000

Buy total (M BNB)

1.623

1.654

Sell % of circ

0.000%

Buy % of circ

+1.219%

+1.242%

Net inflation %

-1.219%

-1.242%

Circulating supply: 133.159M BNB

Read the full Inflation Analysis

BNB: no new coins, and a large burn every quarter shrinks the supply.

Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.

Metric 2 of 3

BNB · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want BNB right now, and how much buying could come later.

3.5 / 5Strong

Current demand2 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot BNB is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

BNB on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about

#24 · Oct 10 2026

Today, people are talking about BNB for two reasons:

1
The next big BNB burn is only days away.
BNB fell about 5% on Oct 8 2026 in a wide sell-off across altcoins, just before its 37th quarterly burn. The official tracker puts that burn at about 1.65M BNB, due around Oct 15 2026. People ask whether the burn can lift the price this time, or whether the market mood matters more.
2
BNB Chain now leads the market for tokenized stocks.
Reports on Oct 8 2026 said BNB Chain holds about $1 billion of tokenized stocks, more than a third of that market and more than any other chain. People ask whether stock trading on BNB Chain will bring new users who need BNB to pay their fees.

Checked Oct 10 2026

Metric 3 of 3

BNB · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move BNB's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · CZ and Binance

New

Cases close → price upNew probe → price downnow

Nov 21 2023CZ pleads guilty, quits
Apr 30 2024CZ gets 4 months jail
Sep 27 2024CZ leaves prison
Oct 23 2025Trump pardons CZ
Feb 24 2026Senator opens Iran probe
Sep 22 2026DOJ Iran probe reported
Oct 9 2026DOJ reviews 2023 deal
Today
May 2027?US monitor may end

DOJ now checks if Binance kept its 2023 deal.

Data

Date	What happened / what is coming
Nov 21 2023	CZ pleads guilty, quits
Apr 30 2024	CZ gets 4 months jail
Sep 27 2024	CZ leaves prison
Oct 23 2025	Trump pardons CZ
Feb 24 2026	Senator opens Iran probe
Sep 22 2026	DOJ Iran probe reported
Oct 9 2026	DOJ reviews 2023 deal
May 2027?	US monitor may end (coming)

Checked Oct 10 2026

2 · Big buyers

New

They hold more → price upnowThey sell → price down

BNB Standard (BNC)VanEck ETF

ETF jumped to ~130K BNB on Oct 2; BNC flat at 515,544.

Data

Date	BNB Standard (BNC)	VanEck ETF
Jul 31 2026	515,544 BNB	3,900 BNB
Aug 31 2026	—	3,500 BNB
Sep 30 2026	—	3,500 BNB
Oct 8 2026	—	129,700 BNB

Checked Oct 10 2026

Should you buy BNB? Questions about BNB

Should I buy BNB now, or wait?

Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for BNB is positive. As of Oct 11 2026, score 8.5/10, BNB faces −1.24% new supply over 90 days, with demand strong (3.5/5). BNB's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down.

Why has BNB been going up lately?

Big buyers and a shrinking supply probably explain most of it. BNB ETFs jumped to about 130K BNB on Oct 2, and supply falls 1.24% in the next 90 days. The risk to watch is the new US probe of Binance, reported Sep 22 2026. For BNB, the supply-and-demand signal is positive right now.

Does BNB still have a future with Binance under a new US probe?

Likely yes, though the probe is a real risk. The DOJ now checks whether Binance kept its 2023 deal, and a US monitor may end in May 2027. Meanwhile supply shrinks 4.97% in the next year and demand reads strong (3.5/5). Supply and demand still read positive for BNB in the long run.

Is $5,000 possible for BNB?

It would take 6.7 times today's value: $5,000 × BNB's coins in the market = about $666B, against $99.6B now (Oct 11 2026). BNB's supply barely changes in the next year (−4.97%), so the whole move would have to come from demand. Our supply-and-demand read for BNB stays positive.

Should I sell my BNB now?

Today the signal is positive. Supply and demand would point the other way for BNB if new supply jumps (today −1.24% in 90 days), or demand falls from strong, or CZ and Binance keeps pointing down. Next date to watch for BNB: May 2027? — US monitor may end.

Is BNB a good long-term investment?

On our framework BNB scores 8.5/10 (Oct 11 2026), with supply 5/5 (shrinking) and demand 3.5/5. In the next year BNB's supply changes −4.97%, so the long-run signal reads positive.

What is the best time to invest in BNB?

The law of supply and demand points to one window for BNB: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where BNB stands today: −1.24% new supply in 90 days (shrinking), demand strong (3.5/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 1 ▼.

Will BNB go up? What could move its price?

BNB has 2 price drivers today (1 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down). ▼ CZ and Binance: DOJ now checks if Binance kept its 2023 deal. ▲ Big buyers: ETF jumped to ~130K BNB on Oct 2; BNC flat at 515,544.

Is BNB a better investment than Bitcoin?

BNB reads positive at 8.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 11 2026). On supply and demand, BNB looks about level with Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is -1.24% shown in green?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. BNB supply is not growing (-1.24% in the next 90 days), so it shows in green. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch BNB alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

More coins: ETH · XRP · SOL · Which crypto to buy now → · Embed this coin

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BNB

Supply ↘

Demand ↘

Price Drivers ↘

Coming next

Current demand2 / 2.5

1 · CZ and Binance

2 · Big buyers

Should you buy BNB? Questions about BNB

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