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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

CRO · a burn that got undone, paying itself back every month.

CRO is the coin of Cronos, the chain behind Crypto.com — 48.52B circulating of the 98.89B that exist, under a real 100B cap. The rest sits in one locked account that empties on a fixed calendar until Mar 2030.

Sell pressure. Three monthly payments out of that locked account released 3,500.0M CRO in 90 days — sixteen times the 210.3M the chain itself minted, and the mint is shrinking every month.

Buy pressure. Nothing is bought and nothing is burned. The only offset is brand new: 491.1M CRO committed to one-, two- and four-year staking locks since Aug 13 2026.

Net. About +6.63% to market over 90 days and +6.57% next — the calendar decides this coin, and the calendar runs to 2030.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+6.64%
updated
Net flow: 6.64% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+6.57%
estimate
Net flow: 6.57% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Time-locked staking positions in the on-chain lock module cro1epzd2c4p6kc3ahs7ftwfc0zk5t3nhq8st4y4dm rose from 10,705 CRO on Jul 30 2026 to 491,061,168 CRO on Aug 31 2026; the monitor counts locked CRO as tradable and divides by the 90-day-ago supply, so 1.01pp of the 1.57pp gap is that lock and 0.63pp is the base it divides by.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Three more reserve payments+3,500.0M CRO
    Sep 16 2026 · Oct 17 2026 · Nov 16 2026 · added to market
  • Staking mint keeps decaying 6.8% a monthrate now 0.79% a year
    Continuous · Sep 2026 – Nov 2026 · added to market
  • Staking tiers keep filling after the Aug 13 2026 launch491.1M locked so far
    Continuous · carried flat, not extrapolated · removed from market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~210.3M CRO

The chain still pays its stakers with newly minted CRO, but the tap is closing on a fixed schedule. A May 2026 upgrade set the print to shrink 6.8% every month on the way to zero, and it is working: the run rate fell from 958.1M a year at the start of this window to 782.2M a year at the end, and the supply counter moved by 210.3M across the 90 days. Blocks are also arriving slightly slower than the code assumes, which quietly trims another 1.5% off what actually gets paid.

updated · Aug 31 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~3,500.0M CRO

This is the whole story. The 70B CRO burned in 2021 was re-created by a 2025 vote and parked in a locked account that pays out 1,166,666,667 CRO every 30.4 days until Mar 2030. Three of those payments landed in this window, on Jun 17, Jul 17 and Aug 17 2026, and the account balance fell by 3,500.0M — matching the calendar to half a coin. That is sixteen times what the chain itself mints. 43 more payments are still to come.

updated · Aug 31 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

Every release in the window is already counted above, and no watched wallet sent CRO to market. Four balances are tracked: the locked reserve account still holding 50,166.7M with 43 scheduled payments left; the operating wallet that receives every payment and now holds 11,950.0M — a quarter of everything counted as tradable, and it kept 3,450.0M of the 3,500.0M released; the community pool, which grew from 193.7M to 225.3M and is the fuel for a future burn; and the CRO that a listed company bought for its own balance sheet in 2025 and did not sell when its CRO venture was cancelled on Aug 7 2026. If any of these balances falls between refreshes, the outflow lands in this row at the next refresh.

checked · Aug 31 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate, trustee schedule or court-ordered distribution applies to CRO.

checked · Aug 31 2026
5. Tiered staking bonus rewards
~0.4M CRO

The new lock tiers pay a bonus on top of ordinary staking, and that bonus does not come from fresh minting — the team pre-funded a pool with 50.0M CRO on Jun 11 2026. The pool has paid 0.4M of it out so far and still holds 49.6M. It is small today, but it scales with how much gets locked, so it is expected to run around 5.0M over the next 90 days.

updated · Aug 31 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

There is no buyback contract on either Cronos chain, and none fired in the window. The May 2026 revenue plan names buying back CRO as one of four future uses of protocol income, but the revenue that would pay for it has not started arriving yet — monitored.

checked · Aug 31 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

CRO is not burned by using the network. Cronos deliberately does the opposite of Ethereum here: the base fee and the tip both go to validators, not to a fire. Checked from both directions this build — the official burn address took in only 4,500 CRO of dust across 90 days, and the total number of CRO in existence went up, not down. The 200.0M sitting in that burn address is the four community burns from 2023 to 2025; none has fired in over a year.

updated · Aug 31 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

The buyer that would have filled this row no longer exists. A listed company, Crypto.com and a listing vehicle cancelled their planned CRO treasury venture and the related fund partnership on Aug 7 2026. No discretionary open-market buying was observed in the window — monitored.

checked · Aug 31 2026
4. New long-term lock
~491.1M CRO

The one real offset, and it is brand new. The May 2026 upgrade added staking tiers that pay a bonus for committing CRO for one, two or four years, and it went into production on Aug 13 2026. Reading the lock module directly, it held 10,705 CRO on Jul 30 2026, 105.4M on Aug 17 and 491.1M across 466 positions on Aug 31 — so effectively all of it was locked inside this window. Two honest caveats: it is concentrated, with the largest single position at 105.3M and the top ten at 53.4% of the total, and total staked CRO rose by only 307.1M over the same period, so much of what is now locked for years was already staked before. It is carried flat into the next 90 days rather than extrapolated.

updated · Aug 31 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M CRO)
3710.700
3676.900
Buy total (M CRO)
491.100
491.100
Sell % of circ
+7.647%
+7.577%
Buy % of circ
+1.012%
+1.012%
Net inflation %
+6.635%
+6.565%
Score (0–2)
0.0
0.0
Verdict
avoid
avoid
Circulating supply: 48524.159M CRO
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for CRO.
Where the reserve payments land, and what the new locks take back.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of CRO, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 31, 2026.