DDOT · Polkadot
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

DOT · a staking mint that finally got a ceiling.

DOT is the staking token of Polkadot, the relay chain that secures its parachains — ~1,693.1M circulating and fully liquid, now under a new 2.1B hard cap with issuance cut to about 2.5% a year.

Sell pressure. The chain mints ~10.5M DOT over the next 90 days as staking rewards — down sharply since the March 2026 cap cut.

Buy pressure. Zero. No buyback, and the fee and treasury burns were switched off in early 2026 — nothing removes DOT.

Net. About +0.6% to market over the next 90 days — supply still growing, but far slower than before the cap.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+0.62%
updated
Net flow: 0.62% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+0.62%
estimate
Net flow: 0.62% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~10.5M DOT

New DOT is minted every block as staking rewards — about 10.5M over the next 90 days at roughly 2.5% a year. That rate is down from the old ~10%: a March 2026 governance overhaul cut gross issuance 53.6% and set a hard 2.1B supply cap, with a further step-down every two years. There is now a ceiling the old model never had.

updated · Jul 14 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

The 2020 genesis sale, redenomination and early allocations vested out years ago, so total supply already equals circulating — no team, backer or foundation cliff reaches the market.

permanent · no change
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

No discretionary release is scheduled. The on-chain Treasury (~33M DOT, now inside the governance-controlled allocation pool) and the Web3 Foundation reserve are the tracked team-controlled balances; they move only when a spend proposal passes on-chain — monitored.

checked · Jul 14 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to DOT. Bonded DOT is withdrawable after a 28-day unbonding period — operational, not a long-term lock.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

There is no revenue-funded buyback. Staking rewards are paid from new emission, not by purchasing DOT back from the market — monitored.

checked · Jul 14 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

DOT no longer burns anything. The March 2026 Dynamic Allocation Pool halted every burn — transaction fees, coretime sales and validator slashes now flow into a governance pool instead of being destroyed, and the old unspent-treasury burn was removed. Nothing offsets the mint.

checked · Jul 14 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No discretionary open-market buying by the Web3 Foundation or the treasury — monitored.

checked · Jul 14 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

No new multi-year lock or escrow announced in the window — monitored.

checked · Jul 14 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M DOT)
10.500
10.500
Buy total (M DOT)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+0.620%
+0.620%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+0.620%
+0.620%
Circulating supply: 1693.100M DOT
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for DOT.
Where new supply comes from, and why the cap and burn switch changed the math.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of DOT, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jul 14, 2026.