Polkadot

DOT · Layer-0
Checked
Oct 17 2026
The big picture
5.5 / 10Total score0510
Supply + DemandMax. 10
Hold DOT? We'll warn you first.
Free · 2 coins

Coming next

No single dated event in the next 90 days.

Metric 1 of 3

DOT · Coin Supply

About 153K new DOT a day. Almost none burned.

2.5 / 5Moderate
Age6.2 yearssince Aug 2020
Unlocked100%of total supply
Last 90 days+0.81%new supply
Next 90 days+0.81%estimate

DOT runs Polkadot: 1.71B coins circulate, all of them unlocked. New DOT is minted around the clock on a curve capped at 2.1B.

Sell pressure. Minting added 13.78M DOT in 90 days, about 153K a day, at a rate fixed until Mar 14 2028. Treasury spending moves coins already counted.

Buy pressure. Almost nothing is burned and nothing is bought back: fees now go to a governance pool instead.

Net. Net, supply grows about 0.81% in 90 days, and the same next.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+0.81%
checked · Oct 13 2026
Net flow: 0.81% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+0.81%
estimate
Net flow: 0.81% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~13.78M DOT

New DOT is minted around the clock on a fixed curve that aims at a 2.1B cap. Since the first cut on Mar 14 2026 the curve pays out about 55.9M DOT a year, or 153,132 a day, and it stays at that level until the next cut on Mar 14 2028. Total supply measured at both ends of the window rose by 13,782,179 DOT, in three equal 30-day steps. About a third of each mint goes to a governance pool; the rest pays stakers and validators.

checked · Oct 13 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

There is no team or investor unlock calendar. About 15.94M DOT sits in on-chain vesting locks across 1,071 accounts, each releasing a little every block, but those coins are already counted as circulating, so a release adds nothing new.

checked · Oct 13 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

The on-chain Treasury holds about 21.46M DOT, down from 24.31M in July after votes paid out about 2.85M DOT. A governance pool that collects part of every mint and all fees holds 5.63M DOT, up from 1.16M. Both are counted as circulating already, so spending from them moves coins between holders and adds no new supply. No foundation wallet set is published.

checked · Oct 13 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate, trustee or long lock is releasing DOT. The DOT minted on another chain in the April 2026 bridge exploit was a copy on that chain, not native DOT.

checked · Oct 13 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

Nothing buys DOT back. A vote in August 2026 promised to destroy all DOT earned from a future product sale, but those sales have not started.

checked · Oct 13 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

Transaction fees are no longer burned: they go to the governance pool, and the Treasury burn was switched off in December 2025. Only money paid for blockspace is still destroyed, a few thousand DOT in 90 days, far too small to change the figure.

checked · Oct 13 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

The Treasury spends DOT and stablecoins; nothing this window shows it, or any foundation, buying DOT.

checked · Oct 13 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staking grew from 862.42M to 912.75M DOT this window, about 53% of all coins. But staked DOT still counts as circulating, so a bigger stake takes nothing out of the float.

checked · Oct 13 2026
Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M DOT)
13.782
13.782
Buy total (M DOT)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+0.807%
+0.807%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+0.807%
+0.807%
Circulating supply: 1707.156M DOT
Read the full Inflation Analysis
DOT: about 153K new coins a day, and almost nothing burned against them.
Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.
Metric 2 of 3

DOT · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want DOT right now, and how much buying could come later.

3 / 5Moderate

Current demand1.5 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot DOT is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

DOT on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about
#42 · Oct 13 2026

Today, people are talking about DOT for two reasons:

  1. 1
    Polkadot holders vote on a "users first" plan.

    A vote opened on Oct 12 2026 asks DOT holders to make winning new users the top goal, with DOT-backed stablecoins like dotUSD at the center. So far about 798,000 DOT vote yes and about 53,000 DOT vote no. People ask if more users will really turn into more demand for DOT.

  2. 2
    A second vote would let the Polkadot App sign up new users.

    A vote opened on Oct 13 2026 would let new users of the Polkadot App pick a username, get a .dot name, and use small free allowances for messages and storage. DOT is near $1.14, down about 10% this week. People ask if an easy app can bring new people to Polkadot.

Checked Oct 17 2026

Metric 3 of 3

DOT · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move DOT's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · US ETF holdings

New
ETF holds more DOT → price upnowETF holders sell → price down
21Shares TDOT
7891011ETF launchesGrayscale out10.2M DOT
7891011ETF launchesGrayscale out10.2M DOT

Only US DOT ETF keeps adding, yet holds under 1% of supply.

Data
Date21Shares TDOT
Aug 31 20269.02 M DOT
Sep 30 20269.62 M DOT
Oct 9 20269.62 M DOT
Oct 12 202610.2 M DOT
Checked Oct 13 2026

2 · DAO treasury DOT

New
Treasury spends less → price upBig DOT payouts → price down
Treasury
01020304050202420252026dotUSD21.5M DOT
01020304050202420252026dotUSD21.5M DOT

Treasury rebuilt to 24M DOT, then dropped 2.9M on Oct 8.

Data
DateTreasury
Aug 31 202624.3 M DOT
Sep 30 202624.3 M DOT
Oct 10 202621.5 M DOT
Oct 13 202621.5 M DOT
Checked Oct 13 2026

Should you buy DOT? Questions about DOT

Should I buy Polkadot now, or wait?

Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Polkadot is mixed. As of Oct 17 2026, score 5.5/10, Polkadot faces +0.81% new supply over 90 days, with demand moderate (3/5). Polkadot's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down.

Is Polkadot dead in 2026?

No. Polkadot still holds a $2.04B market cap on Oct 13 2026, with moderate demand (3/5). The only US DOT ETF keeps adding coins, but it holds under 1% of supply, so that buying is still small. Our supply-and-demand read for Polkadot stays mixed.

Why is Polkadot going down?

Steady new supply is one likely weight: Polkadot adds about 0.81% more DOT in 90 days and 3.27% in a year (Oct 13 2026). The DAO treasury also moved, rebuilding to 24M DOT, then dropping 2.9M on Oct 8 2026. For Polkadot, the supply-and-demand signal is mixed right now.

Is $100 possible for Polkadot?

It would take 85 times today's value: $100 × Polkadot's coins in the market = about $171B, against $2.01B now (Oct 17 2026). Polkadot's supply also grows +3.27% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Our supply-and-demand read for Polkadot stays mixed.

Is it time to take profit on Polkadot?

Today the signal is mixed. Supply and demand would point the other way for Polkadot if new supply keeps arriving (+0.81% in 90 days), or demand falls from moderate.

Is Polkadot a good investment right now?

On our framework Polkadot scores 5.5/10 (Oct 17 2026), with supply 2.5/5 (moderate) and demand 3/5. In the next year Polkadot's supply changes +3.27%, so the long-run signal reads mixed.

What is the best time to invest in Polkadot?

The law of supply and demand points to one window for Polkadot: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Polkadot stands today: +0.81% new supply in 90 days (moderate), demand moderate (3/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 0 ▼.

Will Polkadot go up? What could move its price?

Polkadot has 2 price drivers today (1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down). ▲ US ETF holdings: Only US DOT ETF keeps adding, yet holds under 1% of supply. • DAO treasury DOT: Treasury rebuilt to 24M DOT, then dropped 2.9M on Oct 8.

Should I buy Polkadot or Bitcoin?

Polkadot reads mixed at 5.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 17 2026). On supply and demand, Polkadot looks weaker than Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is +0.81% shown in red?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. DOT supply grows +0.81% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more DOT reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch DOT alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

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