EENA · Ethena
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

ENA · anniversary cliff drives ~808M to market.

Last 90 days: ~808M ENA entered circulation — the April 2, 2026 second-year anniversary cliff was the dominant event. The $890M Ethena treasury accumulation programme absorbed ~300M ENA into long-term holdings. Net +5.63% / 90D. Next 90 days project smaller — no cliff in window, just the ongoing linear vest at ~172M/month plus monthly Foundation tranches.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+5.63%
updated · Jun 4 2026
Net flow: 5.63% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+2.77%
estimate
Net flow: 2.77% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation

Fixed 15B cap. No mint function on the ENA ERC-20 — verified via `totalSupply()` on the live block explorer. Supply grows only via scheduled vesting unlocks.

0 ENA
permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks

Ongoing 36-month linear vest from Core Contributor + Investor cohorts (post Apr 2, 2025 1-year cliff) at ~172M/month, plus monthly Foundation tranches (~40M each on Jun 2 / Jul 2 / Aug 2). NO big anniversary cliff in next-90D window — smaller than last-90D, which contained the Apr 2, 2026 second-year cliff (~300M).

~550M ENA
updated · Jun 4 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

No public evidence of release in window — monitored. §0.45.3.4 enumeration: Foundation tranches arrive on the vesting schedule (captured in Row #2) and most are routed into the Ethena treasury vehicle for long-term accumulation — a structural off-ramp, NOT a market sale. No separately-disclosed ad-hoc market sales in next 90D.

0 ENA
checked · May 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No bankruptcy estate. Pre-cliff supply already released.

0 ENA
checked · May 30 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback

$890M committed Ethena treasury accumulation programme (announced Sep 2025): Ethena Foundation $310M + listed treasury vehicle $530M PIPE. Smoothed cadence ~$30M / 90D at ~$0.10 avg price ≈ ~300M ENA acquired per 90D, held under Foundation sales veto. StablecoinX (Nasdaq ticker USDE, post-TLGY merger Q4 2025–Q1 2026) targets >3B ENA long-term.

~300M ENA
checked · May 30 2026
2. Protocol fee burn

No EIP-1559 base-fee burn on ENA. Protocol revenue funds the DAT buyback (Row #1) instead. (Fee switch parameters MET Sep 2025 — USDe > $6B + revenue > $250M — but Risk Committee sign-off + governance vote required. Not fully live as of May 2026.)

0 ENA
checked · May 30 2026
3. Foundation buy

The Ethena treasury accumulation programme IS the Foundation-led buy mechanism (captured in Row #1). No separate channel exists.

0 ENA
permanent · no change
4. New long-term lock

sENA stakers lock ENA in exchange for a yield-bearing wrapped token; aggregate staked supply is NOT exposed via a single public API. Material but not quantifiable in window.

0 ENA
checked · May 30 2026

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M ENA)
808.000
550.000
Buy total (M ENA)
300.000
300.000
Sell % of circ
+8.951%
+6.093%
Buy % of circ
+3.323%
+3.323%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
+5.628%
+2.769%
Score (0–6)
0
2
Verdict
avoid
mixed
Circulating supply: 9027.000M ENA · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the full Pressure Framework analysis
ENA: anniversary cliff drives 808M to market — $890M buyback absorbs a third.
Long-form Metric 1 + 2 read. Origin-first from Ethereum RPC + Ethena docs + governance forum. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of ENA, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 28, 2026.