Ethereum

ETH · Layer-1
Checked
Oct 11 2026
The big picture
7 / 10Total score0510
Supply + DemandMax. 10
Hold ETH? We'll warn you first.
Free · 2 coins

Coming next

No single dated event in the next 90 days.

Metric 1 of 3

ETH · Coin Supply

Validators get new ETH every day. The burn is tiny.

3.5 / 5Steady
Age11 yearssince Aug 2015
Unlocked100%of total supply
Last 90 days+0.21%new supply
Next 90 days+0.21%estimate

ETH runs Ethereum: 122.12M coins circulate, all of them unlocked. Validators are paid in new ETH, and part of every fee is destroyed.

Sell pressure. Validator pay is the only new supply: 263,305 ETH in 90 days, with 43.75M ETH staked and 1.37M more in the queue. Nothing vests, and Foundation sales stay inside the float.

Buy pressure. The fee burn destroyed 4,661 ETH, more than half of it in the last 30 days.

Net. Net, supply grows about 0.21% in 90 days, and about the same next.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+0.21%
checked · Oct 10 2026
Net flow: 0.21% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+0.21%
estimate
Net flow: 0.21% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Mixed flows · supply roughly steady
monitor gap · The monitor reads +1.19% and we read +0.21%. The supply figure it reads sat near 120.68M ETH every day from Jan 1 to Sep 2 2026, then jumped 1.33M ETH in one day on Sep 3 2026 to catch up with the chain — a recount of ETH that already existed, not new coins. On-chain, supply rose from 121.86M to 122.11M ETH between Jul 12 and Oct 10 2026: 263,305 ETH issued less 4,661 ETH burned. Our number stays.
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~263.3K ETH

Every epoch the protocol creates new ETH to pay validators, and the pay rises with the square root of the total stake. The stake is still growing: 43.75M ETH is active across 851,105 validators, 3.94M ETH was deposited to stake in these 90 days, and 1.37M ETH is queued to join. Supply measured at both ends of the window, with the burn added back, gives 263,305 new ETH — about 2,926 a day.

checked · Oct 10 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

ETH has no vesting. The 2014 crowdsale coins and the early team share could move from launch day in 2015, unlock trackers show nothing left to release, and circulating supply equals total supply.

checked · Oct 10 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

The Ethereum Foundation is the only team holder we track: about 94,205 ETH in four known wallets (68,120 in its main Safe, 20,176 in a multisig, 5,774 in its oldest wallet, 134 in another) plus about 70,000 ETH it stakes itself. Its oldest wallet sent out 4,000 ETH in this window, and it sold ETH to a listed company in early October. All of it is already counted as circulating, so a sale moves coins between holders and adds no new supply.

checked · Oct 10 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate, trustee or long lock is releasing ETH. Funds and listed companies that hold ETH bought it in the market (the largest reports about 6.02M ETH), so those coins were already in the float.

checked · Oct 10 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

Nothing buys ETH back. Fees are either destroyed or paid to validators, and the destroyed part is counted as the fee burn below.

checked · Oct 10 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
~4.66K ETH

The base fee of every transaction, and the blob fee that rollups pay, is destroyed when it is paid. Added up block by block over the whole window it came to 4,660.6 ETH, about 52 a day, of which blobs were only 6.6 ETH. The burn more than doubled in the last 30 days (2,504 ETH) as blocks got busier, with no rule change behind it, so the forward figure keeps the 90-day rate.

checked · Oct 10 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

The Foundation spends, sells and stakes ETH; nothing this window shows it, or any project treasury, buying ETH.

checked · Oct 10 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staking is a real lock with an exit queue, and 3.94M ETH of new deposits arrived this window. But staked ETH still counts as circulating, so a bigger stake takes nothing out of the float — it only raises the issuance above.

checked · Oct 10 2026
Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M ETH)
0.263
0.263
Buy total (M ETH)
0.005
0.005
Sell % of circ
+0.216%
+0.216%
Buy % of circ
+0.004%
+0.004%
Net inflation %
+0.212%
+0.212%
Circulating supply: 122.122M ETH
Read the full Inflation Analysis
ETH: validators get new coins every day, and the burn removes less than 2% of them.
Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.
Metric 2 of 3

ETH · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want ETH right now, and how much buying could come later.

3.5 / 5Strong

Current demand2.5 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot ETH is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

ETH on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about
#3 · Oct 10 2026

Today, people are talking about ETH for two reasons:

  1. 1
    BitMine says its Ether buying ends at 5% of all ETH.

    On Oct 7 2026 at Token2049 in Singapore, Tom Lee said BitMine will never hold more than 5% of all ETH. It owns about 6.02 million ETH, about 4.9%, so roughly 100,000 ETH of buying is left, and ETH fell about 5% that day. People ask who the next big buyer will be once BitMine stops.

  2. 2
    An Ethereum researcher told holders to get ready for a "bunker mode".

    On Oct 7 2026 Ethereum Foundation researcher Justin Drake warned that AI might break the math that protects Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets, in the worst case within months. He suggested a calm, planned move of coins to fresh addresses that have never sent a transaction. No working attack has been shown, and people ask how real the risk is and what holders should do now.

Checked Oct 10 2026

Metric 3 of 3

ETH · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move ETH's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · BitMine's ETH

New
BitMine buys → price upStops or sells → price down
BitMine
02M4M6M8M2026Starts buyingStops at 5%6.02METH
02M4M6M8M2026Starts buyingStops at 5%6.02METH

BitMine is 88,586 ETH from 5%, then stops buying.

Data
DateBitMine
Jul 31 20265,787,415 ETH
Aug 31 20265,901,112 ETH
Sep 30 20266,001,302 ETH
Oct 4 20266,016,414 ETH
Checked Oct 10 2026

2 · ETF holdings

Watch
ETFs hold more → price upnowETFs hold less → price down
US ETFs
02M4M6M8M20252026Sold 21%6.37METH
02M4M6M8M20252026Sold 21%6.37METH

ETFs hold 6.37M ETH, 5% below the Oct 2025 top.

Data
DateUS ETFs
Jul 31 20265,477,049 ETH
Aug 31 20266,287,659 ETH
Sep 30 20266,585,775 ETH
Oct 8 20266,365,064 ETH
Checked Oct 10 2026

3 · Upgrade calendar

Watch
Upgrade on time → price upDelay or bug → price down
  1. Mar 13 2024Dencun: cheaper L2 fees
  2. May 7 2025Pectra upgrade live
  3. Dec 3 2025Fusaka upgrade live
  4. Oct 6 2026Glamsterdam on testnet
  5. Today
    Oct 27 2026?2nd testnet (planned)
  6. Late 2026Glamsterdam on mainnet (aim)

Glamsterdam hit testnet Oct 6; mainnet date not set yet.

Data
DateWhat happened / what is coming
Mar 13 2024Dencun: cheaper L2 fees
May 7 2025Pectra upgrade live
Dec 3 2025Fusaka upgrade live
Oct 6 2026Glamsterdam on testnet
Oct 27 2026?2nd testnet (planned) (coming)
Late 2026Glamsterdam on mainnet (aim) (coming)
Checked Oct 10 2026

Should you buy ETH? Questions about ETH

Should I buy Ethereum now, or wait?

Supply and demand point to a positive long-run signal for Ethereum (Oct 11 2026, score 7/10). Ethereum adds +0.21% new supply in 90 days, and demand reads strong (3.5/5). Ethereum's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down.

Is Ethereum dead, or still in the game?

Still very much alive. ETFs hold 6.37M ETH, only 5% below the Oct 2025 top, and the Glamsterdam upgrade hit testnet on Oct 6. New supply is small too, +0.21% in 90 days, so we read Ethereum at 7/10 today. For Ethereum, the supply-and-demand signal is positive right now.

Ethereum vs XRP: which looks stronger right now?

Ethereum looks stronger, 7/10 against XRP's 6/10 on Oct 10 2026. The gap is mostly supply: Ethereum adds +0.21% in 90 days, XRP adds +1.14%. XRP has slightly higher demand (4/5 vs 3.5/5), but not enough to close it. By supply and demand, Ethereum's long-run signal is positive today.

Could Ethereum ever hit $10,000?

Ethereum trades near $2,495 (Oct 11 2026). $10,000 a coin means a $1.22 trillion market cap, 4 times today's $305B. Ethereum's supply also grows +0.86% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Our supply-and-demand read for Ethereum stays positive.

Is it time to take profit on Ethereum?

We would read Ethereum differently if new supply jumps (today +0.21% in 90 days), or demand falls from strong. Until then Ethereum's signal stays positive. Mark this date for Ethereum: Oct 27 2026? — 2nd testnet (planned).

Is Ethereum a good investment right now?

Ethereum scores 7/10 on our framework (Oct 11 2026): supply 3.5/5 (steady), demand 3.5/5. Over the next year Ethereum's supply changes +0.86%. The long-run signal is positive.

How do I know when to buy Ethereum?

Supply and demand favor Ethereum most when little new supply is coming, demand is strong and the price drivers point up. Right now Ethereum has +0.21% new supply in 90 days (steady), demand strong (3.5/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 0 ▼.

Will Ethereum go up in 2026?

Ethereum's price drivers today: 1 pointing up, 0 pointing down, out of 3. • BitMine's ETH: BitMine is 88,586 ETH from 5%, then stops buying. ▲ ETF holdings: ETFs hold 6.37M ETH, 5% below the Oct 2025 top. • Upgrade calendar: Glamsterdam hit testnet Oct 6; mainnet date not set yet.

Should I buy Ethereum or Bitcoin?

Ethereum: positive signal, 7/10 · Bitcoin: positive signal, 8.5/10 (Oct 11 2026). By supply and demand, Ethereum reads weaker than Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is +0.21% shown in red?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. ETH supply grows +0.21% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more ETH reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch ETH alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

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