No single dated event in the next 90 days.
Rewards and rFLR unlocks add coins. Burns barely dent them.
FLR powers Flare, a data and XRP-DeFi chain: 87.10B coins circulate, about 82% of all FLR. New FLR pays stakers and data providers, and rFLR rewards vest out of a reserve.
Sell pressure. Rewards paid out 635.7M FLR in 90 days and rFLR withdrawals 305.9M more. Team and foundation coins already count as circulating.
Buy pressure. Burns and fee capture took out only 26.5M FLR: a staking wallet's monthly burn, gas fees and a new fee pool.
Net. Net, supply grows about 1.05% in 90 days, and about the same next.
Flare mints new FLR every day at 3% a year and pays it to validators, stakers, data providers and data-request voters. 697.8M FLR was minted in these 90 days; 59.7M of it was burned at the source as unearned or expired rewards, so about 635.7M FLR (some 7.1M a day) reached holders as claimed rewards.
rFLR rewards come from a reserve and vest over 12 months; holders withdrew 312.8M FLR, and 11.4M of that was burned as the early-exit penalty, so 301.5M reached the market. The old sale escrow paid out another 4.4M; 200.1M fully vested FLR is still unclaimed there.
The reserve that funds rFLR holds 17.27B FLR outside the market and sent 439.0M into the vesting pool this window (the part already withdrawn is counted above); the vesting pool holds 783.5M more. Unpaid rewards waiting to be claimed: about 218.6M. Foundation-listed wallets hold 3.5M. Team, foundation and backer coins handed out in earlier years already count as circulating. No public evidence of release in window — monitored.
No estate, trustee or long lock is paying FLR out. Staked FLR can leave staking at will and is already counted as circulating.
Since Aug 18 2026 part of the network's fee revenue is collected in a wallet the chain leaves out of circulation (the FIRE pool set up by the April vote). It took in 3.41M FLR in 50 days; at that pace about 6.1M next 90 days. No open-market purchase or burn from it yet; if it ever pays out, the coins return to supply.
Gas is paid to the burn address. The Jul 14 2026 fork raised the base fee from 25 to 500 gwei, so the burn is now real but still small: about 6.07M FLR this window with small app fees, near 71,000 a day since the fork. Data-provider transactions are refunded and burn almost nothing.
No announcement or on-chain flow this window shows the foundation or any project treasury buying FLR on the market.
More FLR is staked to validators and delegated to data providers, but staked and wrapped FLR still counts as circulating and can be withdrawn, so staking takes nothing out of the market.
One large staking wallet burns most of the rewards it earns, about once a month: 12.0M FLR on Aug 14 and 5.0M on Sep 9 2026, ten burns since Nov 2025. It holds 7.6M now; three more burns at the last size would remove about 15.0M next 90 days.
Two sides: how much people want FLR right now, and how much buying could come later.
This part is based on social media. It shows how hot FLR is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.
Today, people are talking about FLR for two reasons:
On Oct 9 2026, Firelight, a staking app on Flare, said it will roll back its blacklist process and unfreeze 87 wallets that held about 117,500 FXRP. Firelight called its old rule "unsustainable", and Flare co-founder Hugo Philion said he will personally pay back addresses that are not sanctioned or widely blacklisted. People ask whether this hurt trust in Flare's apps, or whether the quick fix helps.
On Oct 3 2026, Flare and Doppler Finance said XRP holders will be able to use Flare's FXRP vaults straight from Doppler, where many already keep their XRP. FXRP is XRP brought onto Flare one-for-one; Flare said about 145 million FXRP had been made by Sep 24 2026. People ask whether more XRP coming to Flare will raise real use of the Flare network.
Checked Oct 10 2026
Based on the law of supply and demand, the long-run signal for Flare is negative. As of Oct 11 2026, score 3.5/10, Flare faces +1.04% new supply over 90 days, with demand low (1/5). Flare's price drivers: 0 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down.
Not by itself, it looks like. Flare needs XRP to be used on Flare, and FXRP minted peaked near 156M by May 31 2026, then slowly shrank. Six XRP launches have come since Sep 24 2025, but an FLR ETF has still not launched. That leaves Flare's long-run signal at negative, by supply and demand.
Flare is likely down because FXRP use is shrinking while new coins keep coming. FXRP minted has slipped since its peak near 156M on May 31 2026, and supply grows +1.04% in 90 days. Demand reads low (1/5), so few buyers soak that up. For Flare, the supply-and-demand signal is negative right now.
It would take 142 times today's value: $1 × Flare's coins in the market = about $87.1B, against $614M now (Oct 11 2026). Flare's supply also grows +4.24% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. For Flare, the supply-and-demand signal is negative right now.
Today the signal is negative. Supply and demand would point the other way for Flare if new supply keeps arriving (+1.04% in 90 days), or demand falls from low, or FXRP minted keeps pointing down.
On our framework Flare scores 3.5/10 (Oct 11 2026), with supply 2.5/5 (moderate) and demand 1/5. In the next year Flare's supply changes +4.24%, so the long-run signal reads negative.
The law of supply and demand points to one window for Flare: low new supply, high demand, drivers pointing up. Where Flare stands today: +1.04% new supply in 90 days (moderate), demand low (1/5), drivers 0 ▲ / 1 ▼.
Flare has 2 price drivers today (0 ▲ price up, 1 ▼ price down). ▼ FXRP minted: FXRP peaked near 156M by May 31 2026, then slowly shrank. • XRPFi launches: Six XRP launches since Sep 24 2025; FLR ETF still not launched.
Flare reads negative at 3.5/10; Bitcoin reads positive at 8.5/10 (Oct 11 2026). On supply and demand, Flare looks weaker than Bitcoin today.
Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →
We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. FLR supply grows +1.04% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more FLR reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.
One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.
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