Hyperliquid · HYPE

The on-chain perpetuals exchange

9/10
balance

Hyperliquid still leads on-chain perpetuals — and by a wider margin on the money actually left at risk — while the Assistance Fund now buys back more HYPE than the whole chain issues, so supply is flat and turning down, and you genuinely need HYPE to pay gas, stake and deploy markets: a rare all-three coin.

Checked Aug 24 2026
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You want coins with the best chance to rise. Three forces decide it: inflation (fewer new coins = less selling pressure), narrative (a strong story pulls buyers in), business model (is the token actually needed, and used). Full method →

Metric 1 · Coin inflation · 4/5FREE

HYPE · the buyback already outruns the team draw, and a second buyer arrives in October.

HYPE is the native gas and staking asset of Hyperliquid, a purpose-built chain that runs its own order-book exchange inside the protocol. The cap is a hard 1,000M and cannot be raised. About 222.45M trades freely today; the rest sits in an un-issued reserve, a team escrow, a foundation wallet and a buyback address nobody holds a key to.

Sell pressure. About 2.26M HYPE reached the market over 90 days — 1.42M handed out by the team escrow on the 6th of each month, 0.74M of staking rewards landing on market-held stake, and 0.10M from the foundation wallet. The published calendar implied about 29.76M; the escrow ledger shows what actually left the address.

Buy pressure. Fees are converted to HYPE inside the chain and parked at an address with no private key, which validators voted to treat as burned. It absorbed 2.15M over the window, and a further 0.39M was destroyed outright by gas and fees. From Oct 3 2026 a second stream — the yield on idle dollar reserves — starts paying into the same address.

Net. The last 90 days came out slightly negative — the buying edged past the team draw on its own. The next 90 days read about 0.30% taken off the market, and the new reserve-yield stream widens a gap that was already there.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-0.13%
updated · Aug 24 2026
Net flow: 0.13% of supply taken off the market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-0.30%
estimate
Net flow: 0.30% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Mixed flows · supply roughly steady
monitor gap · Our supply monitor reads the last 90 days at about -6.92%, and this build rebuilt the float day by day to find out why. The entire move is one 24-hour step on May 26 2026, when the reading fell from 238,832,075 to 221,874,756 — about 16.96M in a single day — while every other day of the window sits inside ordinary price noise. That step now sits on the very first day of the window, so it ages out within days and the reading should collapse to about +0.20%. Nothing on chain matches it: the chain's own total supply for token 0x0d01dc56dcaaca66ad901c959b4011ec read 998,999,100 on Aug 24 2026 and is falling by only about 4,341 a day, the keyless buyback address 0xfefefefefefefefefefefefefefefefefefefefe only gained, reaching 46,697,843 on Aug 24 2026, and the core-contributor escrow 0x43e9abea1910387c4292bca4b94de81462f8a251 released 533,752 on Jun 6, 452,000 on Jul 7 and 433,024 on Aug 6 2026. That step is an upstream supply-model revision, not a market flow, so primary is kept and the gap stays flagged.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Reserve-yield accrual opens — the first 30-day block starts countingstarts
    Aug 26 2026 · removed from market
  • Core-contributor claim — the escrow let go of ~0.43M last time, not the headline 9.92M~0.43M
    Sep 6 2026 · added to market
  • First reserve-yield buyback payment — new, automatic, paid into the keyless address~0.14M
    Oct 3 2026 · removed from market
  • Core-contributor claim — same monthly step~0.43M
    Oct 6 2026 · added to market
  • Second reserve-yield buyback payment~0.14M
    Nov 2 2026 · removed from market
  • Core-contributor claim — same monthly step~0.43M
    Nov 6 2026 · added to market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~0.74M HYPE

Staking rewards are paid out of an un-issued reserve instead of being minted, so the 1,000M cap can never be crossed. Reading that reserve at both ends of a six-and-a-half-day baseline puts the drain at 26,724 HYPE a day, about 2.41M over 90 days, and two independent checks — the published reward curve and the largest delegator's own reward stream — land within 4% of it. Of the 436.43M HYPE staked, 241.40M is the team escrow and 60.38M is the Foundation wallet; both are settled separately below, so counting their rewards here as well would book the same tokens twice. Only the 134.65M of genuinely market-held stake belongs in this row, which is about 0.74M over the window.

updated · Aug 24 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~1.42M HYPE

The published calendar implies about 9.92M HYPE a month reaching core contributors on the 6th. The escrow's own ledger says something much smaller, and this build followed the tokens all the way out of the address: 533,752 left on Jun 6 and Jun 7 2026, 452,000 on Jul 7 2026, and 433,024 on Aug 6 2026 — about 1.42M in all. A dated public report of the same August claim put it at 22.65M dollars, which at that week's price is the same 0.43M. The escrow was granted 238M in Dec 2024 and still holds 241.40M, so none of the original grant has been touched. What it hands out each month is the staking yield the grant earns, and it hands out essentially all of it.

updated · Aug 24 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
~0.10M HYPE

The Hyper Foundation budget wallet sent out 50,000 HYPE on May 28 2026 and another 50,000 on Aug 4 2026, and has a further 50,000 sitting liquid after an unstake settled on Aug 11 2026 — pre-positioned to leave the same way. It earns 3,602 HYPE a day on its stake and drew far less than that, so its balance keeps growing. The tracked overhangs behind this row are large and quiet: an un-issued reserve of about 412.15M, the core-contributor escrow at 241.40M against a 238M grant, the Foundation wallet itself at 60.43M against a 60M grant, and the keyless buyback address at 46.70M that nobody can spend. Together that is roughly 761M, about three quarters of the cap.

checked · Aug 24 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

There is no bankruptcy estate, no trustee schedule and no court-ordered distribution attached to HYPE. What is locked here is ordinary vesting and an un-issued reserve, not an insolvency claim. The listed companies that hold HYPE bought it on the open market, so those coins were already inside the tradable float and belong to nobody on this side of the ledger.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~2.15M HYPE

Platform fees are converted to HYPE inside the chain's own execution and parked at a system address created without a private key, so nobody can ever spend it; a validator vote in Dec 2025 formally recognised that balance as burned. The address held 44,536,854 at the window open and 46,688,928 at the close, so it absorbed 2,152,074 HYPE. That is read straight off the address, never inferred from the fee split — and the split is the reason to read it: the quoted headline is 97-99% of fees, while the realised share measured here is 70.5% of total platform fees, because fee tiers, staking discounts and builder economics intercept the stream before it arrives.

updated · Aug 24 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
~0.39M HYPE

Gas on the execution layer and the HYPE side of trading fees are destroyed outright, so the chain's own supply figure falls a little every hour rather than in visible burn events. Measured across a six-and-a-half-day baseline that is about 4,341 HYPE a day, roughly 0.39M over 90 days. Since launch 1,000,900 have been destroyed, an average of 1,581 a day, so the current rate runs well above the long-run mean — August's record trading and execution-layer activity shows up here first. Small next to the buyback, but it is true destruction with nothing left to sell later.

updated · Aug 24 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No public evidence of release in window — monitored. No discretionary buying outside the automatic fee conversion above has been disclosed.

checked · Aug 24 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Anyone deploying their own perpetual market must stake 500,000 HYPE and hold it for at least 183 days, and several such markets are live. A further rule announced on Jul 20 2026 would extend the same 500,000 stake to permissionless outcome markets, but it needs a network upgrade that has not shipped. Ordinary staking is not a lock either, because it exits through a 7-day queue. Nothing here carries a dated quantum inside the window, so nothing is booked.

checked · Aug 24 2026
5. Reserve-yield buyback
0

A validator vote passed with 19 of 26 validators and 69.08% of stake, above the 66.67% needed, and routes about 90% of the yield earned on the platform's idle dollar reserves into the same keyless buyback address. Yield starts accruing on Aug 26 2026 in 30-day blocks, each paid out 8 days later, so nothing at all landed inside the window just measured. Two payments fall inside the next 90 days, on Oct 3 and Nov 2 2026. Published projections put each payment at 11M to 13M dollars; this build's own arithmetic, run against the 6,785M dollars of stablecoins independently measured on the chain today, gives 13.6M to 17.8M. The low end of the published range is what is carried forward.

checked · Aug 24 2026
Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M HYPE)
2.261
2.141
Buy total (M HYPE)
2.543
2.814
Sell % of circ
+1.016%
+0.962%
Buy % of circ
+1.143%
+1.265%
Net inflation %
-0.127%
-0.303%
Score (0–2)
1.7
1.7
Verdict
favor
favor
Circulating supply: 222.450M HYPE
Read the full Inflation Analysis
HYPE: the buyback already outruns the team draw, and a second buyer arrives in October.
What the escrow actually released, what the keyless buyback address actually absorbed, and the 761M parked behind both. ~5 min.

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