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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

IOTA · staking rewards now mint new supply, with nothing to take it back.

IOTA is the gas and staking token of its own delegated proof-of-stake layer-1 after the 2025 Rebased upgrade — ~4.49B circulating, now uncapped, growing by staking emission plus bi-weekly ecosystem unlocks.

Sell pressure. About 136M IOTA over the next 90 days — ~69M of staking emission plus seven bi-weekly vesting cliffs worth ~67M.

Buy pressure. None that matters — no buyback, and the fee burn is too small to offset new supply.

Net. About +3.0% to market over 90 days — supply heading up, with nothing structural pulling it back.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+3.03%
updated · Jun 20 2026
Net flow: 3.03% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+3.03%
estimate
Net flow: 3.03% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Bi-weekly vesting unlock~9.55M
    Jun 24 2026 · added to market
  • Bi-weekly vesting unlock~9.55M
    Jul 8 2026 · added to market
  • Bi-weekly vesting unlock~9.55M
    Jul 22 2026 · added to market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~69M IOTA

IOTA mints 767,000 new tokens every epoch — about a day — as staking rewards for validators and delegators. That is roughly 69M over the next 90 days, about 280M a year, an initial rate near 6%.

checked · Jun 20 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~67M IOTA

Two ecosystem buckets created at the Rebased upgrade — the Swiss ecosystem association and the Abu Dhabi entity, 552M each — release bi-weekly over four years, about 9.55M combined per release. Seven cliffs land in this window, the next on Jun 24 2026, releasing roughly 67M.

checked · Jun 20 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

The treasury and original migrated allocation are already about 97.7% unlocked, and no discretionary release outside the bi-weekly schedule already counted above was observed in the window — monitored.

checked · Jun 20 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to IOTA.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

IOTA runs no protocol buyback — there is no mechanism that spends revenue to buy IOTA back off the market.

checked · Jun 20 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

Part of each transaction's computation fee is burned, but fees are tiny (about 0.005 IOTA each) and network volume is low, so the amount removed over 90 days is well under 1M — immaterial against ~136M of new supply.

checked · Jun 20 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No discretionary open-market buying by the foundation announced in the window — monitored.

checked · Jun 20 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

No new multi-year lock or escrow announced in the window — monitored. Staking is liquid and re-stakeable, not a fresh lock-up.

checked · Jun 20 2026

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M IOTA)
136.000
136.000
Buy total (M IOTA)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+3.026%
+3.026%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
+3.026%
+3.026%
Score (0–6)
1
1
Verdict
avoid
avoid
Circulating supply: 4494.560M IOTA · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for IOTA.
Where new supply comes from, and why nothing burns it back.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of IOTA, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jun 20, 2026.