KKITE · Kite AI
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

Kite · a hard cap, but the unlocks are the whole story.

KITE is the native token of Kite, an AI-payments Layer-1 for autonomous agents — hard-capped at 10B, all minted at launch, ~2.39B circulating (~24%), so the chain issues no new coins and every bit of growth is a vesting release.

Sell pressure. No protocol emission at all — the cap is fixed. The pressure is vesting: reading the escrows on-chain, about 152M KITE actually reached the market last quarter, well under the 328M the calendar bills. The big 3,200M team + investor cliff opens Nov 3 2026.

Buy pressure. Zero, and by design — no buyback, and gas is paid in stablecoins, so there is no burn path to pull KITE back.

Net. About +6.36% to market over 90 days, all vesting — the same monthly pace carries into next quarter, then the Nov 3 2026 cliff turns the volume up.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+6.36%
updated · Aug 2 2026
Net flow: 6.36% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+6.36%
estimate
Net flow: 6.36% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Our monitor reads +32.84% for the same window against our +6.36%. The gap is a base effect, not real float growth: the circulating count stepped up about 472M in a single day on May 7 2026 — the six-month-cliff reclassification date — marking tokens as circulating that never left escrow. Reading the four on-chain vesting contracts at both ends of the window shows only about 152M actually released, and the investor vault (exactly 1,200M) and the team wallets did not move at all (checked Aug 2 2026). Because May 7 sits inside this window, the monitor is inflated by that step. We book only the ~152M that truly reached the market, and keep our own read.
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
0

Kite has a hard cap of 10 billion KITE and every unit was minted at launch on Nov 3 2025, so the chain creates no new supply — it is not an emission network. On-chain total supply held flat across the window, so this row is structurally zero and stays there; all of Kite's supply growth is vesting, not minting.

permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks
~152M KITE

This is the only real source of new float in Kite. Only about 24% of the 10B supply circulates, and the ecosystem and module allocations release a slice every month. The published calendar bills roughly 328M for a 90-day window, but the tokens sit in readable on-chain escrows and the calendar overstates what actually leaves them: reading the four vesting contracts at both ends of the window shows a realised outflow of about 152M — the honest sell figure, since tokens that vested on paper but never left the contract are not on the market yet. The escrows did not move until about Jun 5 2026, so all of that release landed in the back half of the window, and with no cliff before Nov 3 2026 the same monthly pace carries forward at about 152M next quarter.

updated · Aug 2 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

No discretionary release was seen this window, but the overhang is the whole story in KITE. The investor vault holds exactly 1,200M and has not moved a single token; the team and early-contributor wallets hold roughly 2,000M and are equally still — both sit behind a 12-month cliff that opens around Nov 3 2026, so together about 3,200M begins releasing just past this window. On top of that, the difference between the calendar and the realised release — around 176M — is still inside the vesting escrows. None of it is booked, because capacity is not a schedule, but if any of these balances falls between refreshes it lands here.

checked · Aug 2 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

There is no Kite estate, no trustee and no court-supervised seller. The long-dated insider locks are covered by the vesting and Foundation rows above.

checked · Aug 2 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

Kite runs no buyback. No buyback contract has executed and fee revenue is not routed back into KITE on the open market, so there is no programmatic counter-flow to the monthly vesting.

checked · Aug 2 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no burn path. Kite charges network gas in stablecoins rather than in KITE, so activity on the chain never removes KITE from supply the way an EIP-1559 base-fee burn would. This row is structurally zero — the buy side has no mechanism to shrink supply.

permanent · no change
3. Foundation buy
0

No open-market buying by the Kite foundation. It is a holder and distributor of supply, not a buyer.

checked · Aug 2 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staking will lock KITE as the network matures, but no new lock-up programme, staking cap or dedicated lock contract with a stated quantum was announced in the last 90 days.

checked · Aug 2 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M KITE)
152.000
152.000
Buy total (M KITE)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+6.357%
+6.357%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+6.357%
+6.357%
Score (0–2)
0.0
0.0
Verdict
avoid
avoid
Circulating supply: 2391.196M KITE
Read the Inflation Analysis
Kite: a hard cap, but the unlocks are the whole story.
Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of KITE, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 2 2026.