MMORPHO · Ethereum
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

MORPHO · a capped token still in its heavy unlock phase.

MORPHO is the governance token of the Morpho lending network on Ethereum (bridged to Base) — ~652.4M circulating, fixed at a 1B hard cap with no mint function, so all supply growth is scheduled unlocks, not new issuance.

Sell pressure. Scheduled vesting adds about 25.8M MORPHO and DAO treasury grants and rewards about 9.9M — roughly 35.7M reaching the float over the next 90 days.

Buy pressure. None. Morpho runs no buyback and no burn, and the fee switch is off — nothing removes MORPHO from the market.

Net. About 5.5% added to the float over the next 90 days — supply heading up on unlocks and DAO grants, with nothing buying it back.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+5.58%
updated
Net flow: 5.58% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+5.47%
estimate
Net flow: 5.47% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Our supply monitor read the tradable float growing about +18.0% over the last 90 days to Jul 8 2026 — roughly 99M more MORPHO — well above the +5.6% our documented-flow math implies. The published vesting schedule explains about 26M of that; the larger remainder is the Morpho DAO distributing its ~354M governance treasury as grants and rewards, faster than its documented ~4%-a-year floor. We size that distribution at the documented rate, so our primary read stays and the gap is flagged.
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
0

MORPHO is fixed at a 1B hard cap with no mint function — on-chain total supply reads 1B and the protocol cannot issue new tokens, so there is no ongoing protocol inflation and no staking emission.

permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks
~25.8M MORPHO

The published linear vesting schedule releases about 25.8M MORPHO over the next 90 days — roughly 16.2M from users and distributors, 7.7M from strategic partners and 2M from contributors. Earlier strategic cohorts are fully vested and the founder tranche stays flat in this window, so vesting is the smaller of the two supply drivers.

checked · Jul 8 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
~9.9M MORPHO

The Morpho DAO distributes its ~354M governance treasury as grants and user rewards at a documented rate above 4% of supply a year — about 9.9M MORPHO over 90 days. The Association reserve (~63M, including a 150M multi-year grant that fully settles in 2030), the Reserve for Contributors (~58M), the Early Contributors allocation (~49M) and the still-locked founder tranche (152M) are the other tracked team- and DAO-controlled overhangs.

checked · Jul 8 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to MORPHO.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

Morpho runs no token buyback — protocol fees, when switched on, would accrue to the DAO treasury rather than buying MORPHO on the open market.

checked · Jul 8 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

MORPHO has no fee-burn mechanism. Governance can switch on a borrower-interest fee capped at 25%, but it is off today and would route to the treasury — no tokens are destroyed.

checked · Jul 8 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No treasury or Foundation open-market buying of MORPHO was observed in the window — monitored.

checked · Jul 8 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

No new multi-year lock or escrow was announced in the window — monitored.

checked · Jul 8 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M MORPHO)
36.400
35.700
Buy total (M MORPHO)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+5.579%
+5.472%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+5.579%
+5.472%
Circulating supply: 652.400M MORPHO
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for MORPHO.
Why a capped token with no buyback still reads as firmly inflationary.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of MORPHO, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jul 8, 2026.