PI · KYC migration overhang dominates the ledger.
100B max cap with ~10.59B circulating (10.59% unlocked). Last 90 days: ~1.58B PI flowed to market — ~1.24B from KYC migration unlocks plus ~340M ongoing mining emission. Buy side is structurally zero (no buyback, no fee burn, Foundation is a net seller). Net +14.92% last 90D — the heaviest sell pressure in our coverage. Next 90D tapers to +8.93% as migration decelerates.
Ongoing mining emission per the whitepaper's declining exponential model. Per-Pioneer base rate recomputed monthly; structurally decays as the network ages. Per 90D ≈ 246M (next), down from ~340M (last) under decay.
KYC migration overhang: scheduled monthly mining unlocks as Pioneers complete KYC. Decelerating — ~16M of ~19M KYC'd Pioneers already migrated. Second Migration wave (Pi Day March 14, 2026) is referral-bonus only. Projected ~700M next 90D, down from ~1,240M last.
Whitepaper claim: 10B Foundation + 20B Core Team allocations unlock proportionally to community mining pace, BUT no Foundation wallet is publicly enumerated. §0.45.3.4 enumeration is BLOCKED by opacity → effectively Tag C (untrackable). A permanent ⚠ caveat applies until Foundation transparency improves.
No bankruptcy estate.
No protocol-revenue buyback mechanism.
Pi transaction fees are nominal (~0.01 PI/tx); no aggregated burn-address disclosure. Buy #2 ≈ 0.
Foundation is a net seller / disburser. No structural accumulation programme.
Pioneer lockup programme (6mo / 1yr / 3yr bonus mining yield) removes free-float supply but aggregate locked supply is NOT publicly aggregated. Material but unquantifiable — Buy #4 stays 0 with a monitored caveat.
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