SOL · structural sell pressure outweighs buy.

Solana's next 90 days, four sources on each side — what's scheduled to be sold vs what's scheduled to be bought back.

Next 90 days · sell vs buy pressure

Sell pressure6.53M SOL

inflation + vesting + identified + bankruptcy

Buy pressure0.75M SOL

buyback + burn + identified + one-off

Net flow ≈ -5.78M SOL over 90 days (-1.00% of circulating)

Next 90 days

May 25 → Aug 23, 2026 — the sell & buy signal for this window

Sell pressure

1. Protocol inflation

3.83%/yr × 90/365 × 627M · Solana mainnet RPC, checked May 25, 2026

5.93M

fixed

2. Vesting unlocksest

No public 90-day cliffs identified · web research, checked May 25, 2026

fixed

3. Foundation + Solana Labsest

Hold ~117M SOL (delegation, not sell) · foundation inflation share = 0% · checked May 25, 2026

watching

4. FTX bankruptcy estateest

Alameda holds ~3.5M SOL; recent pattern ~200K/mo to creditors · checked May 25, 2026

~0.6M

fixed

Buy pressure

1. Programmatic buyback

No protocol buyback mechanism

fixed

2. Protocol fee burn (50%)est

50% of every transaction fee burned; 30d trailing × 3 projection · Solana mainnet RPC, checked May 25, 2026

~0.75M

fixed

3. Foundation / DAO buy

No structural foundation buyback · runs delegation, not accumulation · checked May 25, 2026

watching

4. One-off / feature burns

No scheduled token-burn events

fixed

Circulating

578M

Total supply

627M

Locked

7.8%

48.9M SOL

Inflation

3.83%/yr

→ 1.5% floor

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of Solana (SOL), Metric 1 + Metric 2. Live on-chain data from Solana mainnet. Forward-looking rows (vesting, foundation, bankruptcy distributions) are verified from public tokenomics disclosures and trustee filings — rows flagged est are projections from those public sources, not direct chain queries. Updated May 25, 2026.