MrNasdog Pressure Framework

STRK · monthly cliffs keep unlocking into the float.

STRK is the native token of Starknet, a zero-knowledge Ethereum L2 — a 10B genesis cap with staking mint on top, ~6.52B circulating, the rest still vesting.

Sell pressure. A 127M STRK vesting cliff lands on the 15th of every month — three fire this window (381M) — on top of ~26M of staking emission.

Buy pressure. No buyback and no fee burn — STRK fees pay sequencers, so nothing absorbs the new supply.

Net. About 6.2% of supply to market over 90 days — heading up, driven by the monthly cliff schedule.

Inflation

Last 90 Days

+6.24%

updated · Jun 20 2026

Net flow: 6.24% of supply goes to market over 90 days

Next 90 Days

+6.24%

estimate

Net flow: 6.24% of supply goes to market next 90 days

Supply growing · projected to keep growing

monitor gap · Vesting aggregators show the published 127M-STRK monthly cliff (Jul 15 + Aug 15 + Sep 15 2026) on the tokenomist.ai schedule walked Jun 20 2026; the monitor's +14.88% reflects realized supply growth that also includes community-provision, grant and staking flows with no dated forward schedule. Framework counts only the dated cliffs plus staking emission; primary +6.24% kept.

Upcoming · Next 90 Days

Monthly vesting cliff+127M STRK
Jul 15 2026 · added to market
Monthly vesting cliff+127M STRK
Aug 15 2026 · added to market
Monthly vesting cliff+127M STRK
Sep 15 2026 · added to market

Sell pressure

1. Protocol inflation

~26M STRK

Staking emission mints new STRK on top of the 10B genesis cap, on a square-root staking curve under a 4% annual hard cap. Actual issuance runs ~1.6% annualized in 2026 at current staking levels — about 26M STRK over the window. Bitcoin stakers take a fixed share of emissions.

checked · Jun 20 2026

2. Vesting unlocks

~381M STRK

Published vesting cliff releases 127M STRK on the 15th of each month through Mar 15 2027 — early contributors, investors and team. Three cliffs fall inside the window: Jul 15 2026, Aug 15 2026 and Sep 15 2026, totalling 381M STRK. This is the dominant sell flow.

checked · Jun 20 2026

3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Starknet Foundation treasury + community-provision and grant allocations are large team-controlled overhangs, but only the 127M monthly cliff is on a published forward schedule. No dated discretionary release is scheduled in the window, so the row is 0 as a flow; the overhang is tracked.

checked · Jun 20 2026

4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No bankruptcy estate. The remaining locked allocations are on the published monthly cliff schedule (counted in row #2), not a one-off long-term cliff.

permanent · no change

Buy pressure

1. Programmatic buyback

Starknet runs no protocol buyback. Nothing on the buy side absorbs the monthly cliff or the staking emission.

permanent · no change

2. Protocol fee burn

STRK transaction fees route to sequencers and are partly converted to ETH to cover Ethereum L1 settlement costs — they are not burned. No EIP-1559-style destruction of STRK.

permanent · no change

3. Foundation buy

No open-market accumulation programme by the Foundation or StarkWare.

permanent · no change

4. New long-term lock

Staking locks STRK but with short unbonding — operational, not a long-term supply removal. No new lockup programme with an announced quantum.

permanent · no change

Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs

Last 90D

Next 90D

Sell total (M STRK)

407.000

Buy total (M STRK)

0.000

Sell % of circ

+6.244%

Buy % of circ

0.000%

Inflation (sell − buy) %

+6.244%

Score (0–6)

Verdict

avoid

Circulating supply: 6518.400M STRK · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100

Read the full breakdown

STRK Inflation Analysis — every row, in prose.

Why the monthly cliff sets the reading.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of STRK, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jun 20, 2026.

STRK · monthly cliffs keep unlocking into the float.

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