TTIA · Celestia
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

TIA · three taps still running, and nothing on the other side of the ledger.

TIA is the staking and gas token of Celestia, a modular data-availability Layer 1 — 961.7M circulating out of 1.18B in existence, with no cap on how many there can ever be.

Sell pressure. About 37.6M TIA reached the market in 90 days. Only 6.6M of that is newly created — the other 31M is old supply coming out of vesting, and most of it has no lock contract holding it.

Buy pressure. Zero, on all four rows. Nothing burns TIA, nothing buys it back, and stakers were unlocking rather than locking.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+3.91%
updated · Aug 30 2026
Net flow: 3.91% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+3.42%
estimate
Net flow: 3.42% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Core-contributor vesting finishes~6.9M TIA
    Oct 30 2026 · added to market
  • Yearly issuance step-down2.33% → 2.18%
    Oct 31 2026 · removed from market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~6.62M TIA

Celestia pays its stakers out of a fixed yearly allowance of 26.87M TIA, which works out to about 73,554 TIA a day and 2.33% a year. The chain's own supply counter rose by exactly that much between the two ends of the quarter. On Oct 31 2026 the allowance is cut by 6.7% and the daily figure drops to roughly 70,326.

updated · Aug 30 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~10.22M TIA

One vesting cohort is still paying: 20 locked accounts holding 82.87M TIA that release evenly at 113,516 TIA a day. It is a real on-chain lock, so nothing can vest on paper and stay stuck — the scheduled and the released figures are the same number. The cohort empties on Oct 30 2026 and pays nothing after that.

updated · Aug 30 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
~20.80M TIA

The largest stream on the page, and the one with no lock contract behind it. Celestia's published rules release the ecosystem allocation at 183,493 TIA a day until Oct 30 2027, plus a further 47,580 TIA a day of core-contributor supply that sits in Foundation-run accounts rather than in the on-chain lock. Still watched behind it: ~78.37M TIA of the ecosystem tranche, ~2.95M of the un-escrowed slice, ~126M that has technically unlocked but is not yet counted as circulating, and a 3.53M community pool that only a vote can spend.

checked · Aug 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate and no court-supervised distribution exists. Celestia is a going concern with no trustee holding TIA on a release schedule.

checked · Aug 30 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

There is no buyback contract and no repurchase mandate. A proposal to route network revenue into buying and burning TIA has been discussed for a year and has still never reached an on-chain vote.

checked · Aug 30 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

Nothing destroys TIA. There is no burn address and no destroy instruction, and fees are paid out to stakers with a 2% slice going to the community pool. The quarter's supply growth matched the issuance allowance to within 0.009%, which leaves no room for anything to have been burned.

updated · Aug 30 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

Sporadic — last firing Jul 24 2025, when the Foundation bought 43.45M TIA from an early backer for $62.5M and passed it to new investors on a phased release that ended Nov 14 2025. No public schedule for next 90 days.

checked · Aug 30 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staking absorbed nothing this quarter — the opposite. Bonded TIA fell from 508.66M to 480.29M while unbonding supply rose from 16.35M to 39.68M, so stake was leaving the lock, not entering it.

updated · Aug 30 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M TIA)
37.633
32.871
Buy total (M TIA)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+3.913%
+3.418%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Net inflation %
+3.913%
+3.418%
Score (0–2)
0.3
0.3
Verdict
avoid
avoid
Circulating supply: 961.716M TIA
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for TIA.
Which vesting streams are still open, and what actually changes on Oct 30 2026.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of TIA, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 30 2026.