Celestia

TIA pays for blob space on Celestia: 977.97M coins circulate, about 83% of all supply. New coins come from staking pay and two unlock streams.

Sell pressure. Unlocks are the big part: 31.01M TIA opened in 90 days, plus 6.62M minted for stakers. A 125.94M reserve stays locked with no date.

Buy pressure. Nothing takes TIA off the market: no buyback and no fee burn. Only 500 TIA was burned, once.

Net. Net, supply grows about 3.85% in 90 days, and about 2.72% next as the team stream ends.

Inflation

Last 90 Days

+3.85%

checked · Oct 8 2026

Net flow: 3.85% of supply goes to market over 90 days

Next 90 Days

+2.72%

estimate

Net flow: 2.72% of supply goes to market next 90 days

Supply growing · projected to keep growing

Upcoming · Next 90 Days

Team unlock stream ends+3.69M TIA
Oct 30 2026 · the last team coins open, then that daily stream stops
Yearly issuance cut2.32% → 2.17%
Oct 31 2026 · new coins fall to about 25.61M TIA a year

Sell pressure

1. Protocol inflation

~6.62M TIA

New TIA is created every block and paid to stakers, at a yearly rate of 2.32% of supply (about 26.87M TIA a year). Supply read at both ends of the window rose 6,619,379 TIA; with the 500 TIA burned added back, 6.62M new coins were made. The rate steps down to 2.17% on Oct 31 2026, so the next 90 days bring about 6.39M.

checked · Oct 8 2026

2. Vesting unlocks

~31.01M TIA

Two locked piles open a little every day: the Celestia Labs team share (about 161,065 TIA a day, ending Oct 30 2026) and the R&D and ecosystem share held by the Foundation (about 183,524 a day, until Oct 30 2027). Together 31.01M TIA opened in 90 days. With the team share ending, the next 90 days drop to about 20.21M.

checked · Oct 8 2026

3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

The biggest pile still locked is the reserve for future initiatives, 125.94M TIA, with no release date; it can only be spent after a public vote, and none has been filed. The Foundation's R&D share still locked (71.19M) and the team share (3.69M) are counted above. The Foundation's operations wallet paid out about 1.52M TIA this window (20.68M to 19.16M), but those coins already count as circulating. No public evidence of release in window — monitored.

checked · Oct 8 2026

4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No estate, trustee or court case holds TIA. The early backers' locks all ended on Oct 30 2025, so no long lock is still waiting to pay out.

checked · Oct 8 2026

Buy pressure

1. Programmatic buyback

No contract or treasury buys TIA back. A plan to make blob users pay more, and maybe one day replace part of the new coins with real income, was updated on Sep 22 2026, but nothing is switched on and each step needs its own vote.

checked · Oct 8 2026

2. Protocol fee burn

Fees are not burned. Rollups pay for blob space, and every fee goes to validators and stakers, the same as the new Fibre payments in the next upgrade.

checked · Oct 8 2026

3. Foundation buy

The Foundation's last purchase was 43.45M TIA from one early fund in July 2025, more than a year ago, and those coins were passed on to new buyers. No buy shows up this window.

checked · Oct 8 2026

4. New long-term lock

About 477.79M TIA is staked, down from 502.05M at the start of the window. Staked TIA still counts as circulating, so staking takes nothing out of the float.

checked · Oct 8 2026

5. Governance deposit burn

~0.50K TIA

On Oct 6 2026 the chain destroyed 500 TIA from a cancelled governance proposal's deposit. It is a one-off, so the next 90 days count 0.

checked · Oct 8 2026

Supply check · sell, buy & net

Last 90D

Next 90D

Sell total (M TIA)

37.633

26.599

Buy total (M TIA)

0.001

0.000

Sell % of circ

+3.848%

+2.720%

Buy % of circ

+0.000%

0.000%

Net inflation %

+3.848%

+2.720%

Circulating supply: 977.971M TIA

Read the full Inflation Analysis

TIA: unlocks every day and fresh coins for stakers, with almost nothing burned to offset them.

Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.

Metric 2 of 3

TIA · Coin Demand

Two sides: how much people want TIA right now, and how much buying could come later.

2.5 / 5Modest

Current demand2.5 / 2.5

This part is based on social media. It shows how hot TIA is right now. A better rank means more people are talking about it.

TIA on social mediaIts rank among the 110 coins we follow · last 12 months · #1 = most talked about

#19 · Oct 7 2026

Today, people are talking about TIA for two reasons:

1
TIA jumped about 27% in one day, then gave part of it back.
TIA went from about $0.47 on Oct 10 2026 to about $0.60 on Oct 11, then fell about 11% on Oct 13 to near $0.53. On Oct 14 it was around $0.55. People ask whether this was real buying or a short squeeze that will fade.
2
The last team coins finish unlocking on Oct 30.
The coins of Celestia's first core contributors (about 17.6% of the starting supply) finish their 3-year unlock on Oct 30 2026. After that, this group stops adding new TIA each day, while the R&D and ecosystem share keeps unlocking until 2027. People ask if less new supply from the team will ease selling, or if holders sell before the date.

Checked Oct 14 2026

Metric 3 of 3

TIA · Price DriversBeta

The few things that can move TIA's price that supply and demand miss.

1 · Fibre upgrade

New

Fibre ships on time → price upnowFibre delayed → price down

Jan 28 2025Blocks raised to 8 MB
Jul 28 2025Lotus upgrade live
Nov 24 2025Matcha upgrade live
Dec 3 2025Blocks raised to 32 MiB
Jul 1 2026v9 upgrade live
Sep 24 2026Fibre live on testnet
Oct 1 2026Fibre test: 3 Tb/s
Today
No date yetFibre on mainnet

Fibre runs on testnet; no mainnet date yet.

Data

Date	What happened / what is coming
Jan 28 2025	Blocks raised to 8 MB
Jul 28 2025	Lotus upgrade live
Nov 24 2025	Matcha upgrade live
Dec 3 2025	Blocks raised to 32 MiB
Jul 1 2026	v9 upgrade live
Sep 24 2026	Fibre live on testnet
Oct 1 2026	Fibre test: 3 Tb/s
No date yet	Fibre on mainnet (coming)

Checked Oct 10 2026

2 · Blob fee plan

Watch

Plan passes, fees rise → price upPlan stalls → price down

Sep 18 2024Minimum fee rule live
Jul 15 2026Buys Sovereign Labs
Jul 17 2026Fee plan posted
Sep 22 2026Fee plan v2.0
Today
No date yetFirst spend vote

The fee plan is still a forum post; no vote yet.

Data

Date	What happened / what is coming
Sep 18 2024	Minimum fee rule live
Jul 15 2026	Buys Sovereign Labs
Jul 17 2026	Fee plan posted
Sep 22 2026	Fee plan v2.0
No date yet	First spend vote (coming)

Checked Oct 10 2026

Should you buy TIA? Questions about TIA

Is it time to buy the Celestia dip?

Supply and demand point to a negative long-run signal for Celestia (Oct 15 2026, score 3.5/10). Celestia adds +2.72% new supply in 90 days, and demand reads modest (2.5/5). Celestia's price drivers: 1 ▲ price up, 0 ▼ price down.

Is Celestia (TIA) a dead coin now?

Celestia still looks alive, but work is moving slowly. Its Fibre upgrade runs on testnet with no mainnet date, and the blob fee plan is still a forum post with no vote. Supply weighs too: +2.72% new TIA in 90 days, with demand modest at 2.5/5. Our supply-and-demand read for Celestia stays negative.

Could Celestia ever hit $100?

Celestia trades near 45 cents (Oct 15 2026). $100 a coin means a $97.8B market cap, 222 times today's $440M. Celestia's supply also grows +9.85% in the next year, so every extra coin needs buyers too. Supply and demand still read negative for Celestia in the long run.

Should I sell my Celestia now?

We would read Celestia differently if new supply keeps arriving (+2.72% in 90 days), or demand falls from modest. Until then Celestia's signal stays negative. Mark this date for Celestia: No date yet — Fibre on mainnet.

Is Celestia a good long-term investment?

Celestia scores 3.5/10 on our framework (Oct 15 2026): supply 1/5 (very heavy), demand 2.5/5. Over the next year Celestia's supply changes +9.85%. The long-run signal is negative.

How do I know when to buy Celestia?

Supply and demand favor Celestia most when little new supply is coming, demand is strong and the price drivers point up. Right now Celestia has +2.72% new supply in 90 days (very heavy), demand modest (2.5/5), drivers 1 ▲ / 0 ▼.

Will Celestia go up in 2026?

Celestia's price drivers today: 1 pointing up, 0 pointing down, out of 2. ▲ Fibre upgrade: Fibre runs on testnet; no mainnet date yet. • Blob fee plan: The fee plan is still a forum post; no vote yet.

Is Celestia a better investment than Bitcoin?

Celestia: negative signal, 3.5/10 · Bitcoin: positive signal, 8.5/10 (Oct 15 2026). By supply and demand, Celestia reads weaker than Bitcoin today.

Every answer here applies basic economic theory — the law of supply and demand — to this coin's data. It is not financial advice. How we read every coin →

How does MrNasdog judge every coin, and why is +2.72% shown in red?

We look at two things, half each: supply and demand. Fewer new coins mean less selling pressure. A meme coin scores 1.5 at most on supply: its team got its coins for free, so no new supply does not make it safe. We also show each coin's age, with a warning when it is younger than 1 year. Demand looks at how much people want the coin now and how much buying could come later. Price Drivers (Beta) are the 2 or 3 things that can move one coin's price that supply and demand miss; they have no score. TIA supply grows +2.72% in the next 90 days, so it shows in red: more TIA reaches the market than is removed. Zero or falling supply is always green, any growth is red.

What do Watch TIA alerts cover?

One email before each big supply event, and the day our verdict changes. Nothing else. You can watch 2 coins for free.

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