VVELVET · Velvet Capital
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

VELVET · monthly unlocks, an empty buy side.

VELVET is the governance and fee token of Velvet Capital, a DeFAI on-chain asset-management terminal on BNB Chain and Base — 1B fixed cap, ~420.8M circulating (~42%).

Sell pressure. A fixed 10.4M unlocks on the 10th of each month; three firings land in the window for ~31.2M of emission. The big team and backer cliffs are still years out.

Buy pressure. Fees swap to VELVET and pay veVELVET stakers — that returns tokens to the float, not off it. No burn, no buyback — zero structural absorption.

Net. Steady issuance against nothing — ≈ +7.4% to market over 90 days, structurally inflationary on a young float.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+7.41%
updated · Jun 21 2026
Net flow: 7.41% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+7.41%
estimate
Net flow: 7.41% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · Monitor reads +14.66% trailing 90D (front-loaded post-TGE distribution ramp) while the framework reads the forward on-chain vesting cadence of 10.4M/month (31.2M / 90D); on-chain total held at 1.0B with no in-window mint, burn or governance supply event on Jul 10 2026 — primary kept.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Monthly unlock+10.4M
    Jul 10, 2026 · added to market
  • Monthly unlock+10.4M
    Aug 10, 2026 · added to market
  • Monthly unlock+10.4M
    Sep 10, 2026 · added to market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~31.2M VELVET

Scheduled monthly unlocks of 10.40M (1.04% of supply) release on the 10th of each month. The 90-day window covers three firings — Jul 10, Aug 10 and Sep 10 2026 — for 31.2M of incentive and vesting emission reaching the float.

checked · Jun 21 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

The two large cliffs — Team & Advisors (200M) and Early Backers (149M) — are still inside their multi-year cliffs (about 1,115 and 934 days out) and unlock nothing in this window. Their post-cliff emission is captured in the monthly cadence above once it begins.

checked · Jun 21 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

Tracked overhangs: a DAO Treasury (~20% of supply) plus Foundation and ecosystem funds (combined a large minority of supply), released through governance rather than a wallet drip. No off-schedule deployment observed in the trailing year — monitored.

checked · Jun 21 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate and no trustee-distribution schedule. Locked allocations release on the published monthly schedule, not as a one-off liquidation.

checked · Jun 21 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
0

The fee model swaps 50% of protocol fees into VELVET and pays it to veVELVET stakers — that returns tokens to the float as rewards rather than removing them. No net-removing buyback contract operates at scale this window.

checked · Jun 21 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no VELVET burn. The one-third burn in the model applies to the separate VU inference token, not to VELVET supply.

checked · Jun 21 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No treasury accumulation programme buys VELVET off the market. The DAO Treasury receives the other 50% fee share but is not observed buying the token.

checked · Jun 21 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

veVELVET vote-locking is voluntary, demand-side holder behaviour, not a protocol-enforced lock with an announced quantum — so the framework monitors it rather than booking it as supply removed.

checked · Jun 21 2026

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M VELVET)
31.200
31.200
Buy total (M VELVET)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+7.414%
+7.414%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
+7.414%
+7.414%
Score (0–6)
0
0
Verdict
avoid
avoid
Circulating supply: 420.800M VELVET · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the Inflation Analysis
VELVET: monthly unlocks, an empty buy side.
Long-form mechanism walk. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of VELVET, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jun 21, 2026.