XXLM · Stellar
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

XLM · zero inflation, no vesting — only the Foundation disbursement rate matters.

Inflation was disabled at the protocol level back in October 2019 (CAP-26). There are no vesting cliffs. The whole sell ledger collapses into one row: discretionary Foundation disbursement from ~16.19B XLM in custody (~32% of total supply). Last 90 days deployed ~600M; Q2 pace is accelerating. Net runs at about +1.8% / 90D.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+1.79%
updated · Jun 4 2026
Net flow: 1.79% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+2.08%
estimate
Net flow: 2.08% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation

Inflation mechanism disabled permanently at protocol-12 on October 28, 2019 (CAP-26). Zero forever.

0 XLM
permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks

No vesting schedule exists. The 100B → 50B supply was a one-time November 4, 2019 voluntary burn event. All SDF flow is discretionary (captured in Row #3), not scheduled.

0 XLM
permanent · no change
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Stellar Development Foundation holds ~16.19B XLM (~32% of total) across 13 published wallets — the entire structural sell ledger. Q1 2026 deployed ~340M; Q2-to-date pace ~756M / 90D (Stellar Community Fund v7.0 + Assets/Liquidity programme). Project ~700M / 90D forward. Fully discretionary, no published curve.

~700M XLM
checked · May 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No bankruptcy estate. Stellar Consensus Protocol is federated BFT (not PoS) — no staking lockups apply.

0 XLM
permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback

No protocol-level buyback. The Foundation only deploys, never buys back.

0 XLM
permanent · no change
2. Protocol fee burn

Native fee sink: transaction fees route to a permanently inaccessible account by protocol design — functionally equivalent to burn. Observed pace ~0.5–1.0M XLM / 90D at current network activity.

~0.7M XLM
checked · May 30 2026
3. Foundation buy

Stellar Development Foundation only deploys (sells), never buys back.

0 XLM
permanent · no change
4. New long-term lock

No staking lockups on Stellar (federated BFT, not PoS). No new lockup programme.

0 XLM
permanent · no change

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M XLM)
600.000
700.000
Buy total (M XLM)
0.500
0.700
Sell % of circ
+1.789%
+2.087%
Buy % of circ
+0.001%
+0.002%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
+1.787%
+2.085%
Score (0–6)
2
2
Verdict
mixed
mixed
Circulating supply: 33540.000M XLM · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the full Pressure Framework analysis
XLM: zero inflation, no vesting, no buy — only the SDF disbursement rate matters.
Long-form Metric 1 + 2 read. Origin-first from Horizon API + SDF Mandate + CAP-26. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of XLM, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 27, 2026.