MrNasdog
MXMR · Monero
XMR overview
MrNasdog Pressure Framework · full analysis

Monero (XMR) — how much XMR moves to market in the next 90 days?

Tail emission forever: 0.6 XMR per 2-minute block, no cap, no Foundation token treasury, no buyback. The simplest ledger in our coverage — one row carries everything, the other seven are zero by Monero's 2014 fair-launch design.

Setup

Monero launched April 2014 as a CryptoNote-family privacy chain — fair launch, no premine, no ICO, no team allocation. The main emission completed at block 2,641,623 (June 9, 2022), at which point the protocol switched to perpetual tail emission of 0.6 XMR per blockforever. Read directly from the official Monero docs:

  • Tail emission: 0.6 XMR/block, no cap (perpetual)
  • Block time: 2 minutes → 720 blocks/day → ~157,788 XMR/yr (~0.84% inflation today, trending toward 0)
  • Current block: 3,682,498 (live block explorer · May 26 2026 10:20 UTC)
  • Total supply (primary protocol math): ~18.76M XMR (18.132M at tail-start + ~624.52M tail-emitted since)
  • Mining: RandomX (CPU-friendly, ASIC-resistant)
  • Foundation funding: Community Crowdfunding System (CCS) — XMR holders donate. The protocol does NOT allocate any block reward to development.

The framework asks one structural question for any coin:

Net 90d % = (sell total − buy total) / circulating × 100

Part 1 · Sell pressureto market

Last 90 days · sell total
~38.9K XMR
0.21% of circulating
Next 90 days · sell projected
~38.9K XMR
~0.21% of circulating
SOURCE #1Protocol inflation (tail emission)
Last 90 days
~38.9K XMR
Deterministic protocol math: 0.6 XMR × 720 blocks/day × 90 = 38,880 XMR over the window. All flows to miners (no dev-fund split). Tail emission is permanent — "Monero block rewards will never drop to zero" per the official Monero docs.
Next 90 days
~38.9K XMR
Same rate forever. Inflation % declines as supply grows (~0.84% today, trending toward 0%/yr decades out).
SOURCE #2Vesting unlocks
Last 90 days
0
Monero launched April 2014 as a fair launch — no premine, no instamine, no ICO, no team allocation, no investor lockup. Every XMR ever minted came from a block reward.
Next 90 days
0
Same — no schedule has ever existed.
SOURCE #3Foundation / dev fund
Last 90 days
0
Monero has NO protocol-level dev fund or Foundation token treasury. The Community Crowdfunding System (CCS) is community-funded — XMR holders donate to fund individual development proposals (translations, audits, code contributions). The protocol does NOT allocate any block reward to development. This is a deliberate fair-launch principle.
Next 90 days
0
Same — no proposal active to introduce a coinbase tax.
SOURCE #4Long-term locked or bankruptcy
Last 90 days
0
No XMR bankruptcy estate. Pure PoW chain, no native staking, no lockup vault.
Next 90 days
0
Same.

Part 2 · Buy pressureoff market

Last 90 days · buy total
0 XMR
0.00% of circulating
Next 90 days · buy projected
0 XMR
0.00% of circulating
SOURCE #1Programmatic buyback
Last 90 days
0
No protocol-revenue buyback contract. PoW chain — block reward + fees go entirely to miners.
Next 90 days
0
Same.
SOURCE #2Burn mechanism
Last 90 days
0
No fee burn in Monero. Transaction fees flow to miners as part of the coinbase output.
Next 90 days
0
Same.
SOURCE #3Foundation / DAO buy
Last 90 days
0
No Foundation. No DAO. CCS is a community donation system, not a market buyer.
Next 90 days
0
Same.
SOURCE #4New long-term lock
Last 90 days
0
Pure PoW chain (RandomX). No native staking. No lockup programme.
Next 90 days
0
Same.

Net result

Plug the totals back into the formula:

Last 90 days = (38.9K − 0) / 18760K × 100 = +0.21% to market
Next 90 days = (38.9K − 0) / 18760K × 100 = +0.21% to market

One of two coins in the lineup (with DOGE) where ONLY ONE row of the 4×2×2 grid is non-zero.~38.9K XMR per quarter to miners, every other cell is zero by Monero's 2014 fair-launch design. The structural picture is pure tail-emission inflation: ~0.84%/yr today, falling slowly toward 0% as supply grows but never reaching it (tail is perpetual).

⚠ Data conflict — monitor stale due to privacy chain

The monitor reports XMR circulating supply at 18.45M (today). The protocol math says it should be ~18.76M (18.13M pre-tail at block 2,641,623, plus 0.6 × 1,040,875 blocks of tail = +624,525 XMR). Gap: ~310,000 XMR (~1.7%).

Investigation: Monero's ring signatures + stealth addresses prevent external aggregators from observing wallet balances directly on-chain. The monitor cannot verify XMR supply via the blockchain — it has to trust either the project's self-reported figure or freeze on a prior value. The 18,446,744 figure appears to be a stale snapshot (and the digits coincidentally match the leading digits of 2^64, suggesting a possible uint64-sentinel parsing artifact).

Per the locked anti-fabrication rule, the framework keeps the primary protocol-math supply (~18.76M).The monitor figure is a flag, not a target. We do not back-derive a fake burn or lock row to make the math match the monitor's stale circulating field.

Data note.Tail emission rate + start block + block time are origin-first from the official Moneropedia tail-emission article + the project FAQ. Current block height from a live block explorer. Supply derived from primary protocol math (18.13M pre-tail + tail × blocks). Monitor END check flagged stale due to Monero's privacy properties — ⚠ data conflict shipped with primary kept per SDD §Anti-fabrication rule.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of XMR, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 26, 2026.