BCH Inflation Analysis · October 2026 · Mixed flows · supply roughly steady

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) supply is roughly steady and grows only by the block reward. In the 90 days to Oct 12 2026, miners received 40,525 BCH of new coins, nothing was burned or bought back, and net supply grew +0.20% on 20.10M BCH in circulation. Our monitor reads +0.24%, so the two readings agree. Bitcoin Cash can never pass its 21M BCH cap, and the next halving, around April 2028, cuts new supply in half.

The verdict, in one paragraph

Over the last 90 days the Bitcoin Cash supply grew a net +0.20%, and the next 90 days should look the same: +0.20%. Our monitor, which tracks supply from market data, reads +0.24% for the same stretch. The gap is 0.04 percentage points, well inside our 0.5-point line, so no warning flag is needed and the BCH reading stands as it is. Every new BCH comes from mining, on a schedule fixed in the protocol since the coin split from Bitcoin in 2017. The cite-able label: a quiet, capped proof-of-work chain with slow, predictable issuance.

Sell pressure: where new BCH comes from

Mining is the only source of new Bitcoin Cash. Each block pays its miner 3.125 BCH in fresh coins, the reward set by the April 2024 halving. Between Jul 14 and Oct 12 2026 the network produced 12,968 blocks, one roughly every 10 minutes, so the block reward created 40,525 BCH — about 450 BCH a day. Bitcoin Cash adjusts its mining difficulty after every block to hold that 10-minute pace, so the next 90 days should bring almost exactly the same amount.

Vesting unlocks are 0. Bitcoin Cash began on Aug 1 2017 as a copy of every Bitcoin balance; there was no presale, no team share and no investor round, so there is nothing to unlock. Foundation and unscheduled unlocks are also 0: no foundation, DAO or developer fund holds a reserve of BCH, and no slice of the block reward is set aside for one. The long-term locked or bankruptcy row is 0 as well. The Mt. Gox estate still repays old creditors in BTC and BCH, but those BCH already count as circulating, so a payout moves coins from one holder to another and adds nothing new.

Buy pressure: where new BCH goes

Bitcoin Cash has no programmatic buyback, so that row is 0. It also has no fee burn: every transaction fee goes to the miner who includes it. Fees on Bitcoin Cash are tiny — about 23.1 BCH in total over these 90 days — and none of it was destroyed. We checked both ways: the supply rose by exactly the block reward, and the common burn address received nothing in the window. So the protocol fee burn is 0 BCH.

Foundation buying is 0; no project treasury buys BCH. The largest listed Bitcoin Cash fund holds about 380K BCH and has filed to become an exchange-traded fund, but it bought those coins in the market, so they were already part of the float. New long-term locks are 0 too: Bitcoin Cash is mined, not staked, so no staking contract pulls coins out of circulation. With nothing on the buy side, all 40,525 BCH of new supply reaches the market.

Foundation and overhang

Bitcoin Cash has no team-controlled overhang. There is no foundation wallet, no DAO treasury, no buyback wallet and no locked investor bucket. Total supply sits only 21.9 BCH above circulating supply — the coins from the last few blocks — which proves there is no hidden stash waiting to be released.

The one estate we watch is the Mt. Gox bankruptcy. Its trustee has not published a current BCH balance, and its repayment deadline is Oct 31 2026. We re-check its notices every two weeks. Because those coins already count as circulating, a payout would not add new supply; but if the estate ever holds coins outside the market and its balance falls between refreshes, the outflow enters Sell #3 at the next refresh.

How BCH compares to other proof-of-work chains

Bitcoin Cash shares Bitcoin's supply design: a 21M cap, a block reward that halves every 210,000 blocks, and the same 3.125-coin reward today. The difference is in the fees. Bitcoin's blocks are small and its users bid against each other, so fees can matter to miners; Bitcoin Cash uses large blocks and keeps fees near a fraction of a cent, so its miners live almost entirely on the block reward. Neither chain burns fees, and neither has a team stash, so on both the only sell pressure is mining issuance near 0.2% per 90 days.

Against Litecoin, another capped halving chain, Bitcoin Cash is close in shape: both pay miners a fixed reward that halves on a block schedule, and both have no burn. Against Dogecoin, the contrast is sharp: Dogecoin has no cap and prints a fixed number of new coins every minute forever, so its supply never stops growing. Monero sits in between, with a small permanent tail reward after its main emission ended. Bitcoin Cash is the strict kind: about 95.7% of all coins already exist, and each halving makes new supply smaller.

What to watch in the next 90 days

CME plans to list regulated Bitcoin Cash futures on Oct 19 2026, pending regulatory review; futures move no coins, but they can bring new traders.

The Mt. Gox repayment deadline falls on Oct 31 2026; any last BCH payouts would come from coins already in circulation.

Developers are debating the Faster Blocks proposal, which would move Bitcoin Cash to 1-minute blocks with a reward one tenth the size, so the same number of new coins a day; a decision is possible around Nov 15 2026 for a May 2027 switch.

The listed Bitcoin Cash fund's request to become an exchange-traded fund is still waiting for approval; if it is approved, more buyers could reach BCH through ordinary brokerage accounts.

Summary

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has slow, predictable inflation: about 40,525 BCH of new coins go to miners every 90 days, a net +0.20%, with no burn, no buyback, no vesting and no team reserve. Our monitor agrees at +0.24%. The main risk on the supply side is simply that miners sell what they earn, since nothing else offsets it. The ceiling is fixed: supply can never pass 21M BCH, and the next halving, around April 2028, cuts new coins to 1.5625 BCH per block.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of BCH, Metric 1 — Inflation. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Checked Oct 12 2026.