HHBAR · Hedera
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

HBAR · zero inflation, zero buy — Council Treasury Release is the whole ledger.

50B HBAR was pre-minted at genesis in 2018; no protocol mint mechanism exists. Network fees flow to council nodes (they do not burn). The only sell pressure is the Council Treasury Management Report schedule. Q1 was quiet (~0.5B); Q2 forecast is a back-loaded ~4B Ecosystem release. Releases are LUMPY — past quarters have swung 300×, so last-90D ≠ next-90D.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+1.15%
updated · Jun 4 2026
Net flow: 1.15% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+9.22%
estimate
Net flow: 9.22% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation

50B HBAR pre-minted at genesis (2018). No protocol mint mechanism — Council nodes earn fees but do not mint new HBAR.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks

Council Treasury Management Report schedule. Q1 2026 actual 0.527B; Q2 2026 forecast 3.972B (back-loaded Ecosystem release at end of June). Window spans ⅖ Q2 + ⅔ Q3 → projected ~4.0B / 90D. Releases are LUMPY — past quarters have swung 300×, so last-90D ≠ next-90D.

~4.0B HBAR
checked · May 30 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks

Collapsed into Row #2 — Treasury Release IS the Hedera Council / Foundation distribution. §0.45.3.4 enumeration: 30+ Council orgs + Hedera Foundation + Hashgraph Association. Per-counterparty deployment within the Ecosystem bucket (~21.5B still allocatable) is Council-discretionary.

0 HBAR
checked · May 30 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy

No long-term lockups. No bankruptcy estate.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback

No protocol-level buyback mechanism.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change
2. Protocol fee burn

Network fees do NOT burn. Fees flow to council nodes and Treasury per the fee schedule. The Jan 2026 v0.69 fee bump increased Treasury income but does not affect HBAR supply.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change
3. Foundation buy

No Foundation or Council accumulation programme.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change
4. New long-term lock

No scheduled long-term lockup programme.

0 HBAR
permanent · no change

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Algorithm check · raw inputs & outputs
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M HBAR)
500.000
4000.000
Buy total (M HBAR)
0.000
0.000
Sell % of circ
+1.153%
+9.222%
Buy % of circ
0.000%
0.000%
Inflation (sell − buy) %
+1.153%
+9.222%
Score (0–6)
3
0
Verdict
mixed
avoid
Circulating supply: 43373.000M HBAR · inflation = (sell − buy) / circulating × 100
Read the full Pressure Framework analysis
HBAR: zero inflation, zero buy — only the Council Treasury Release schedule matters.
Long-form Metric 1 + 2 read. Origin-first from Mirror Node + Council Treasury Management Report. ~5 min.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of HBAR, Metrics 1 & 2. Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated May 27, 2026.