PPUMP · Solana
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

PUMP · the insiders got paid first, the burn gets the rest of the year.

PUMP is the token of Pump.fun, the Solana launchpad. It has a hard cap of 1 trillion and no way to make more — the mint key is gone. About 389.5B trade freely today; the rest is still held back.

Sell pressure. The first insider year ended and 65.1B PUMP left the launch vault for team and early-investor wallets — one big release, not a drip.

Buy pressure. Half of every dollar the platform earns buys PUMP and destroys it — 25.5B burned in the same 90 days, under a contract that runs to Apr 2027.

Net. About +10.17% to market over 90 days — heading up. The one-off cliff is now behind it, and the next three months point the other way.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+10.17%
updated · Aug 26 2026
Net flow: 10.17% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-1.24%
estimate
Net flow: 1.24% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Supply was growing · trend cooling
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Monthly insider tranche6.875B PUMP
    Sep 12 2026 · team and early investors; smaller than the burn running against it
  • Monthly insider tranche6.875B PUMP
    Oct 12 2026 · same fixed size every month to Jun 2029
  • Monthly insider tranche6.875B PUMP
    Nov 12 2026 · last tranche inside the forward window
  • Undelivered backlog held by the two paying agents~7.1B PUMP
    Sep 2026 · already unlocked, not yet delivered — watch whether it drains or grows
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
0

PUMP cannot be created. The token's mint authority was given up, so there is no key anywhere that can issue another unit — the 1 trillion minted at launch is the ceiling forever, and the number in existence has only ever gone down.

permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks
~65.1B PUMP

The first insider year ended and the vault paid out: 62.2B PUMP left the launch vault on Jun 25 2026 and 10B more on Aug 10 2026, reaching team and early-investor wallets through two paying agents from Jul 14 2026 onward. The published calendar said 89.4B for this window; the chain shows 65.1B actually made it out, which is the number that counts.

updated · Aug 26 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

No public evidence of release in window — monitored. Three overhangs are tracked on-chain, all of them real accounts read directly this week: the launch vault still holding 303.3B PUMP with no published calendar for most of it, and 7.1B of already-released tokens still sitting undelivered in the two paying agents — 4.1B in one and 3.1B in the other. That backlog was zero when the window opened and is growing.

checked · Aug 26 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

Pump.fun is a running business. There is no estate, no trustee and no court-ordered distribution of PUMP to track.

checked · Aug 26 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~25.5B PUMP

Half of what Pump.fun earns buys PUMP on the open market and destroys it, under a contract locked since Apr 28 2026 and running to about Apr 2027. That removed 25.5B PUMP over the window, about 0.28B a day. The destination is checked, not taken on trust: the tokens are burned, and the count in existence has fallen to 837.7B from the 1 trillion minted at launch.

updated · Aug 26 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no second, separate burn. Fees are what pay for the buyback above, and burning is where those bought tokens go — counting it twice would double the same coins.

checked · Aug 26 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No dated purchase of PUMP by the company on the open market outside the buyback contract. The corporate treasury is held in dollars and SOL, not in its own token.

checked · Aug 26 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

The protocol offers no staking and no lock. Third-party products that pay a yield on PUMP hand back a freely tradable receipt, which is not a lock — the coins never leave the market.

checked · Aug 26 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M PUMP)
65055.453
20625.000
Buy total (M PUMP)
25452.439
25452.439
Sell % of circ
+16.704%
+5.296%
Buy % of circ
+6.535%
+6.535%
Net inflation %
+10.169%
-1.240%
Score (0–2)
0.0
2.0
Verdict
avoid
favor
Circulating supply: 389455.249M PUMP
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for PUMP.
Where the unlocked PUMP came from, and why the burn is the bigger number from here.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of PUMP, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 26 2026.