PPUMP · Solana
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

PUMP · the burn is behind it, a giant unlock is ahead.

PUMP is the token of pump.fun, the Solana launchpad — ~403.9B circulating, with a fixed one-trillion cap and no protocol inflation. A revenue-funded buyback burns coins; scheduled unlocks add them back.

Sell pressure. The first large lockup expires Jul 12 2026, releasing ~82.5B PUMP in a single cliff to investors and ecosystem partners.

Buy pressure. Half of all platform revenue buys and burns PUMP — roughly 18B coins over the next 90 days, gone for good.

Net. About +16% to market over the next 90 days — the July cliff is far bigger than the burn, so float rises sharply this window, even though the prior 90 days shrank hard on a one-time burn.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-31.50%
updated · Jul 7 2026
Net flow: 31.50% of supply taken off the market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+15.97%
estimate
Net flow: 15.97% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply was shrinking · trend softening
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Investor + ecosystem cliff unlock~82.5B
    Jul 12 2026 · added to market
  • Revenue buy-and-burn (ongoing)~18B
    Jul 5 → Oct 3 2026 · removed from market
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
0

PUMP has a fixed one-trillion supply cap and no staking or block mint, so the protocol never creates new coins on its own.

permanent · no change
2. Vesting unlocks
~82.5B PUMP

The first large lockup expires Jul 12 2026, releasing about 82.5B PUMP in a single cliff to early investors and ecosystem partners — close to a fifth of today's circulating supply landing at once. This is the biggest supply event in the window.

checked · Jul 5 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

Large locked allocations remain — team about 20% of supply, community and ecosystem about 24%, investors about 13% — but they release on the vesting calendar, not at will; the Jul 12 2026 cliff is booked under vesting above. No unscheduled release observed — monitored.

checked · Jul 5 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

No bankruptcy estate or court-ordered distribution applies to PUMP.

permanent · no change
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~18B PUMP

Since late April 2026, half of all platform revenue is spent buying PUMP on the open market and burning it, locked into a one-year contract that runs without team discretion — about 18B coins over the next 90 days at the current, lower revenue. A one-time burn of ~127.3B (the prior nine months of buybacks) was destroyed on Apr 29 2026, inside the last window.

checked · Jul 5 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no separate base-fee burn — the revenue-funded buyback is the only burn, and it is already counted above.

permanent · no change
3. Foundation buy
0

No discretionary open-market buying outside the published revenue buyback — monitored.

checked · Jul 5 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

No new multi-year lock or escrow announced in the window — monitored.

checked · Jul 5 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M PUMP)
0.000
82500.000
Buy total (M PUMP)
127250.000
18000.000
Sell % of circ
0.000%
+20.424%
Buy % of circ
+31.503%
+4.456%
Net inflation %
-31.503%
+15.968%
Circulating supply: 403926.970M PUMP
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for PUMP.
How a record burn and a record unlock pull in opposite directions.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of PUMP, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Jul 5, 2026.