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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

VVV · Venice keeps cutting the mint, and the float keeps growing anyway.

VVV is the staking and access token of Venice, a private AI platform on Base47.9M circulating, freshly minted every day and bought back out of revenue.

Sell pressure. Venice has cut the mint four times in five months, to 2.5M VVV a year. The larger number is a team lockup releasing 1.27M VVV a quarter until early 2027.

Buy pressure. Revenue buys VVV on the open market and burns it — 0.12M in 90 days — and Venice's own wallets pulled another 0.55M out of the float.

Net. About 2.79% reaches the market over 90 days and 3.26% next.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
+2.79%
updated · Sep 9, 2026
Net flow: 2.79% of supply goes to market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
+3.26%
estimate
Net flow: 3.26% of supply goes to market next 90 days
Supply growing · projected to keep growing
monitor gap · A complete sweep of the token's own transfer log on Base contract 0xacfE6019Ed1A7Dc6f7B508C02d1b04ec88cC21bf between Jun 11 2026 and Sep 9 2026 read 241,299 mint events and 217,245 burn transfers, and the ledger closes to within 0.005 VVV of the float change read from chain state at both ends. The 0.84pp gap is 0.92pp of monitor supply estimate, less 0.08pp of base convention because the monitor divides by the 90-day-old float.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Mint rate cut · 2.5M → 2M VVV a year−0.5M VVV/yr
    Oct 1 2026 · less new supply added
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~0.74M VVV

New VVV is minted and paid to stakers, and Venice keeps cutting how much. The mint went 6M a year in May 2026, then 5M, then 4M, then 3M from Jul 1 2026, with 2.5M live since Sep 1 2026 and 2M announced for Oct 1 2026. This row counts the mints themselves rather than the published rate: 241,299 separate mint events across the window, creating 785,411 VVV, and the count of VVV in existence rose from 114.03M to 114.81M by exactly that amount. 94.7% of it lands in the staking contract, which is inside the tradable float, so that is the part booked here.

updated · Sep 9 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
~1.27M VVV

The bigger half of the story, and not new coins at all. Two on-chain lock contracts held 3.36M VVV when the window opened and 2.10M when it closed, so 1,266,348 VVV stopped being locked and became tradable — about 14,070 a day, in a straight line with no cliff. Monthly draws on the larger contract read 400,583, 395,200 and 398,363. At the pace measured here the remaining 2.10M runs out around Jan 2027, so the release does not pause or end inside the next 90 days.

updated · Sep 9 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

Every Venice-side wallet grew across the window instead of selling. Watched as overhang: a treasury holding 20.76M VVV, a second holding 8.64M, a third holding 1.57M, and the 2.10M still sitting in the release contracts — 33.07M VVV in total, which is the entire gap between the 80.97M classified supply and the 47.90M this page divides by. Those three wallets absorbed a net 554,179 VVV out of the float over the window instead of releasing any, which is carried on the buy side as a tracked removal. No public evidence of release in window — monitored.

updated · Sep 9 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

There is no bankruptcy estate, no trustee and no court-ordered distribution attached to VVV. Nothing sits in this row and nothing is expected to.

checked · Sep 9 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~0.12M VVV

Venice spends part of its revenue buying VVV on the open market and sends what it buys to a dead wallet. That wallet took in 120,982 VVV over the window — 54,078 in 217,242 tiny transfers routed straight out of a trading pool, plus 66,904 in three large lots from an executor that bought every one of its 73,810 VVV through an on-chain settlement contract. The pace is climbing hard: 204 VVV a day in the first month, 1,430 in the second, 1,929 in the third and 3,535 in the last week, after a new burn on credit purchases started Jul 17 2026 on top of the per-subscription burns running since Apr 26 2026. Cumulative destruction now stands at 33.87M VVV.

updated · Sep 9 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no separate fee burn, and the token cannot destroy itself: the contract has one supply function, mint, and no burn function at all, so the count of VVV in existence only rises — 114.03M to 114.81M across the window. Both surfaces were read at both ends because neither is sufficient alone, and they disagree in sign: the count rose while the dead wallet also rose, 33.75M to 33.87M. Reading the count alone would have booked the buy side at zero. Everything destroyed runs through the buy-and-burn above and is counted once, there.

updated · Sep 9 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

Venice's own wallets did take in 554,179 VVV over the window, but those arrived as round transfers from named holders — 200,000 and 75,000 into one, 264,804 into another — rather than as market fills, so none of it is demand and none of it sits here. It is carried in the tracked row below instead. The one wallet that demonstrably buys on the open market is the buy-and-burn pipeline already counted above.

updated · Sep 9 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staking removes nothing from this reading. 35.32M VVV sits in the staking contract, up from 33.53M, but staked VVV is already inside the 47.90M float this page divides by — the five wallets that make up the non-circulating side add to 33.07M and the staking contract is not one of them, which closes to 572 VVV. Locking staked VVV to mint compute credits does not change it either, because the locked balance never leaves that same contract.

updated · Sep 9 2026
5. Treasury absorption
~0.55M VVV

Venice's own wallets pulled 554,179 VVV out of the tradable float over the window and sold none of it back. Most arrived as round transfers from named holders — 264,804 into one wallet, 200,000 and 75,000 into another — and the rest as pool fee income and 40,493 bought through a settlement contract. This is not demand and it is not counted as a purchase, but the coins did leave the float this page divides by, so the row carries them and the ledger closes to within 0.005 VVV of the chain. Only the fee legs, 53,494 over 90 days, are carried forward; the round transfers have no schedule behind them.

updated · Sep 9 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M VVV)
2.010
1.762
Buy total (M VVV)
0.675
0.201
Sell % of circ
+4.197%
+3.679%
Buy % of circ
+1.410%
+0.420%
Net inflation %
+2.788%
+3.259%
Score (0–2)
0.7
0.3
Verdict
mixed
avoid
Circulating supply: 47.898M VVV
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for VVV.
Why a shrinking mint and a growing burn still leave the float rising.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of VVV, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Sep 9, 2026.