LLIT · Ethereum
Inflation analysis
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MrNasdog Pressure Framework

LIT · the exchange spends its fee income buying its own token back.

LIT is the token of Lighter, a perpetuals exchange, and it lives on Ethereum. Supply is fixed at 1 billion. Only 250M trades today — the airdrop from launch. Everything else is still held back.

Sell pressure. Almost none. The only new coins reaching holders are staking rewards paid out of the reserve — 0.10M drawn so far, against a published rate worth about 1.85M over the next 90 days.

Buy pressure. Every dollar of trading fees buys LIT back — 3.98M over the window — and the first batch, 15.6M LIT, was sent to a dead address on Jul 10 2026.

Net. About 1.55% taken off the market over 90 days. The next 90 days stay negative but only just — and a 500M insider cliff waits on Dec 27 2026, one month past this window.

Inflation
Last 90 Days
-1.55%
updated · Aug 27 2026
Net flow: 1.55% of supply taken off the market over 90 days
Next 90 Days
-0.21%
estimate
Net flow: 0.21% of supply taken off the market next 90 days
Supply was shrinking · trend softening
monitor gap · Burn address 0x…dEaD on Ethereum holds 15,638,703 LIT, all of it received Jul 10 2026, and the buyback buys every day — but the circulating-supply figure our monitor is built on has sat at exactly 250,000,000 for the whole window, so it can see neither. Primary kept.
Upcoming · Next 90 Days
  • Next revenue-funded burn~2.0M LIT
    Oct 2026 · the LIT bought since the Jul 10 2026 burn, expected to be destroyed after the quarter closes
  • Staking payout from the reserve~1.85M LIT
    Sep 2026 onward · paid to stakers over the next 90 days at the published 6% a year
  • Weekly Robinhood trading rewardssize not published
    Every Friday · drawn from an incentive pool of about 11M LIT; watch the weekly size
Sell pressure
1. Protocol inflation
~0.10M LIT

LIT has no block reward and no mint. The only new supply reaching holders is the staking payout, and since Jun 30 2026 it is paid out of the 250M ecosystem reserve at a stated 6% a year on about 125M LIT staked — about 7.5M LIT a year, or 1.85M over 90 days. The chain shows only 0.10M drawn so far, on Jul 3 2026, so the forward column uses the rate the protocol published rather than that one top-up.

updated · Aug 27 2026
2. Vesting unlocks
0

Nothing vests in this window. The team and early-investor allocations — 500M LIT together, half the supply — sit behind a single cliff dated Dec 27 2026, after which they release evenly over three years. That date is outside both the last 90 days and the next 90 days, so the row is a genuine zero rather than a small number.

checked · Aug 27 2026
3. Foundation + unscheduled unlocks
0

No public evidence of release in window — monitored. Three overhangs are tracked, all read this week: the ecosystem reserve wallet still holding 234.26M LIT with no published calendar, the 260M team allocation, and the 240M early-investor allocation. Inside that reserve sits a trading-reward pool of about 11M LIT for the Robinhood Wallet community, paying out every Friday since Aug 21 2026 — the weekly size and the end date are not published, so it is watched rather than counted.

checked · Aug 27 2026
4. Long-term locked or bankruptcy
0

Lighter is a running exchange. There is no estate, no trustee and no court-ordered distribution of LIT to track.

checked · Aug 27 2026
Buy pressure
1. Programmatic buyback
~3.98M LIT

Every dollar the exchange earns in trading fees buys LIT back on the open market, spread across the day so it cannot be front-run. That bought 3.98M LIT over the window. The destination is checked, not taken on trust: 15,638,703 LIT was sent to a dead address on Jul 10 2026 and can never move again, and the amount matches what the exchange's revenue could buy from launch to that date to within 0.14%.

updated · Aug 27 2026
2. Protocol fee burn
0

There is no second, separate burn. Fees are what pay for the buyback above, and destroying those tokens is where the buyback ends — counting it again would double the same coins.

checked · Aug 27 2026
3. Foundation buy
0

No dated purchase of LIT by the company outside the fee-funded buyback already counted above.

checked · Aug 27 2026
4. New long-term lock
0

Staked LIT can be withdrawn after a 3-day wait, which is a queue, not a lock — the coins never leave the market. The stakers are also the ones being paid in the first sell row, so crediting the stake as well would count the same balance twice.

checked · Aug 27 2026

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Supply check · sell, buy & net
 
Last 90D
Next 90D
Sell total (M LIT)
0.100
1.849
Buy total (M LIT)
3.979
2.367
Sell % of circ
+0.040%
+0.740%
Buy % of circ
+1.592%
+0.947%
Net inflation %
-1.552%
-0.207%
Score (0–2)
2.0
1.7
Verdict
favor
favor
Circulating supply: 250.000M LIT
Read the inflation analysis
The full Pressure Framework write-up for LIT.
How the burn was proved, why our monitor disagrees, and what the December cliff does to all of it.

MrNasdog Pressure Framework analysis of LIT, Metric 1 (Inflation Monitor). Data + explanation only. Not financial advice. Updated Aug 27 2026.